Stocks in the news (anan, ba, ckp, egco, gtb, inet, itel, jas, lalin, lpn, major, nwr, singer, tfd, twpc) 27.09.16

ANAN
ANAN expects to launch five projects with a total value of Bt13bn in 4Q16 which it believes will lift 2016 presales to reach its target of Bt22bn. Presales are now at Bt14.3bn and backlog at Bt38.5bn. It will book revenue of Bt12bn in 2H16. (Kao Hoon, 27/09/16)
Comment: Same story as yesterday and as it has been for past the 12 months 
 
BA
BA expects 2Q16 earnings to be good, supported by high season. It says prebooking will be over 13% and expects 2016 net profit to be a new high. It targets 2016 revenue growth of no less than 10% and passenger load to reach 70%. ( Thun Hoon, 27/09/16)
CKP
CKP share price surged due to expectation of a 2H16 profit of over Bt300mn or growth of 53% YoY, driven by more capacity from Nam Ngum 2. (Kao Hoon, 27/09/16)
Comment: I’m only thinking when will they sell things off to a fund of sorts, otherwise the valuation is a bit rich for my liking.
 
EGCO
EGCO is working with a partern to take over geothermal power plants in Indonesia and the Philippines. It expects to wind up the deal in November. It expects 3Q16 earnings growth as it books revenue from Khanom power plant 4. ( Thun Hoon, 27/09/16)
GTB
GTB targets 2016 revenue growth of 8%. It has backlog of Bt700mn and expects to book revenue of Bt500mn in 2H16. It expects to get a new job worth of Bt80mn soon. It targets an increase in revenue from abroad to 20% within three years. (Kao Hoon, 27/09/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (anan, ba, ckp, egco, gtb, inet, itel, jas, lalin, lpn, major, nwr, singer, tfd, twpc) 27.09.16

Stocks in the news (abc, anan, ap, asn, fn, hydro, jas, kbs, nch, pimo, spa, tacc, thai, vng, wice, xo) 26.09.16

ABC
ABC had presales of 30% or more than 10 units in ABOVE Sukhumvit 39 project worth Bt2.5bn. It expects presales to reach 70-80% this year and revenue to reach target of Bt2bn. It expects to turn to a profit and write off retained loss of Bt159mn this year. (Kao Hoon, 26/09/16)
Comment: Not really amazing numbers from this rather odd company
 
ANAN
ANAN expects good revenue in 2H16, supported by five new condos ready to be transferred with a total value of Bt14bn. It has backlog of Bt38.5bn and expects to book Bt11bn in 2H16. (Kao Hoon, 26/09/16)
Comment: If thats the case then 2016 revenues will be THB 16 bn, an increase from THB 11 bn in 2015. 
 
AP
AP expects 2H16 revenue to grow supported by backlog of Bt15.78bn. It will book Bt10.56bn over the rest of the year. This will lift revenue to its target of Bt23.7bn with presales of Bt31bn. (Kao Hoon, 26/09/16)
Comment: Similar to ANAN above, growing via JV’s with Japanese partners.
 
ASN
ASN expects 4Q16 to be peak due to high season and starting an online business in October. It expects 2016 revenue growth of 20-25% from Bt900mn in 2015. ( Thun Hoon, 26/09/16)
FN
FN plans an IPO of 250mn shares at par Bt0.50. It expects to add four branches at a cost of Bt500mn. (T hun Hoon, 26/09/16)
HYDRO
HYDRO expects to turn around next year as it has gotten a new job with a margin of at least 10%. It plans to bid for 44 new projects worth Bt6bn and has already gotten five. It has backlog of Bt690mn and is confident that 2016 revenue will grow 10% from last year. (Thun Hoon, 26/09/16)
Comment: Ah this lovely story, water company, should’ve been a winner but they haven’t executed anything since going public.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (abc, anan, ap, asn, fn, hydro, jas, kbs, nch, pimo, spa, tacc, thai, vng, wice, xo) 26.09.16

Market Update 19/09 – 23/09

The wonderful month that is September is nearly over, hasn’t it been a fun ride? This week there isn’t much news left, today we are expecting some trade data – likely to be weak, but otherwise the central banks are done for the next 2-3 months and it should be a relatively quiet week news flow wise.

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WHTW: Top 10

  • Thailand Future Fund to be IPO-filed this year end. The financial advisors are selecting projects to be included in the funds. The 3 possible projects are Motorway #7, Motorway #9 and Rama III-Dao Kanong-Bangkok outer ring road. (Bangkok Biz, 16/9/16)
  • Fresh stimulus on the way. The government is poised to launch a fresh round of stimulus measures, targeting agriculture specifically, in an effort to ward off downside risks to economic growth as the recovery sputters along. (Bangkok Post, 22/9/16)
  • Sino-Thai railwork set for December. The draft contract for the Sino-Thai highspeed railway should be finalised in October, and the first phase of construction is expected to start in December, says Transport Minister Arkhom Termpittayapaisith. (Bangkok Post, 22/9/16)
  • TOT signs six-month deal for AWN trial roaming on 2.1GHz. TOT and Advanced Wireless Network, a subsidiary of Advanced Info Service (AIS), signed a sixmonth contract on Tuesday that will see AWN trial-roaming on the state agency’s 2.1-gigahertz spectrum, said a TOT source. (The Nation, 22/9/16)
  • GH Bank asked to put low-income people in homes. DEPUTY Prime Minister Somkid Jatusripitak yesterday asked the Government Housing (GH) Bank to join the Treasury Department, the National Housing Authority and other agencies to find ways for low-income earners and the elderly to own homes. (The Nati on, 23/9/16)

Continue reading WHTW: Top 10

Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, gel, gfpt, gunkul, irpc, kce, maco, ori, pk, ptg, thai, tkt, tse, utp) 23.09.16

AOT
AOT board approved the plan to develop Hat Yai airport. The development will cover a 2year period with a budget of Bt15.1bn. It expects to support 10mn passengers per year by 2030. (Kao Hoon, 23/09/16)
Comment: It’s quite interesting that nothing is ever really spoken about the development of Southern Thailand. If you look at the numbers, Hat Yai is an important part of Thailand’s economic development.
BEAUTY
BEAUTY is outstanding, with average profit growth of 36% per year in 2016-2017 due to more branches and distribution channels. (Kao Hoon, 23/09/16)
GEL
GEL plans to increase capacity to allow it to handle more jobs, both government and private. It targets increasing the portion of government jobs to 35% from 20% and is confident that 2016 revenue will reach its target of Bt1.8-2bn. It expects 2017 earnings to be good with revenue growth of 15-20%. It plans a JV with a partner to support business. (Thun Hoon, 23/09/16)
GFPT
GFPT is confident that 3Q16 earnings will be good, supported by high season. It plans to increase capacity to handle more exports to Japan. It expects margin to reach 14% from 12% last year due to cost management and expects 2016 revenue growth of 2-3%. (Thun Hoon, 23/09/16)
Comment: Still the best chicken operator in the country. Question now is what will happen to chicken prices over the next 6-12 months?
GUNKUL
GUNKUL targets power plant capacity of 1,000MW in Thailand with 200MW in Japan. It is the first 100% Thai company to be granted loans by large Japanese banks of JPY11.78bn to build a solar power plant with capacity of 38.1MW; COD is expected in 1Q18. (Thun Hoon, 23/09/1 6)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, gel, gfpt, gunkul, irpc, kce, maco, ori, pk, ptg, thai, tkt, tse, utp) 23.09.16

Stocks in the news (ap, ckp, delta, ksl, mc, mjd, pm, prin, q-con, rjh, spa, tcmc, tpipl, trt, tu, wha) 22.09.16

AP
AP is confident that low-rise project revenue and presales will hit target. It reports revenue from low-rise of Bt6.14bn in 1H16 and will realize Bt5.68bn in 2H16. (Thun Hoon, 22/09/16)
CKP
CKP expects profit of Bt300mn in 2H16 supported by more capacity from Nam Ngum 2. (Kao Hoon, 22/09/16)
Comment: Now would they consider flipping this into an infra REIT? Are the rules there by the SEC for this happen?
 
DELTA
DELTA has received more orders, which will support 2H16 earnings. It maintains its target revenue growth of 10% from last year backed by customer expansion. It has budgeted Bt1.12bn to set up a production base and R&D facility in India. (Thun Hoon, 22/09/16)
KSL
KSL expects 4Q16 earnings to be good supported by a surge in sugar price and the rise from bottom for its ethanol business. It plans to bid for a biomass power plant contract. (Thun Hoon, 22/09/16)
Comment: The only thing driven these names are the sugar prices
 
MC
MC expects 2H16 revenue to be good supported by campaigns and high season. It is confident that 2016 revenue will grow 15%. It has a plan to add 1 branch in Laos. (Kao Hoon, 22/09/16)
Comment: I still think that they have one of the worst inventory days turnover that I’ve seen amongst nearly every retailer in the region.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (ap, ckp, delta, ksl, mc, mjd, pm, prin, q-con, rjh, spa, tcmc, tpipl, trt, tu, wha) 22.09.16

Stocks in the news (acap, centel, chow, demco, epco, epg, ifec, jas, lh, ncl, nncl, plat, prin, rs, spali) 21.09.16

ACAP
ACAP raising loan target to Bt3.5bn from Bt2bn. There is progress in its plan to expand abroad and it expects to wind up a deal with two partners in Cambodia. It plans to issue a debenture worth Bt1bn with interest rate at 5.6%. The call center business continues to grow. (Thun Hoon, 21/09/16)
CENTEL
CENTEL expects 4Q16 to be good, supported by high season. It expects 2016 earnings to grow in line with growth in tourism. Recently, it agreed to join with PTT to study placing a hotel in service stations. (Thun Hoon, 21/09/16)
CHOW
CHOW expects 3Q16 earnings to be good and lead to growth in 2016 revenue and profit. It has Bt3.36bn in loans from EXIM Bank to invest in a 70MW solar farm in Japan. It plans to list CHOW Energy on mai this year. (Kao Hoon, 21/09/16)
Comment: Quite the development but not a surprise given their strategy 
 
DEMCO
DEMCO won EGAT project worth Bt1bn which will expand its backlog to Bt8bn. It plans to bid for another new job. It expects 2016 revenue to grow 15% from last year supported by more jobs waiting to be booked. (Thun Hoon, 21/09/16)
Comment: Question is still how much more money will they lose from fixing those wind turbines? A gambling man may be willing to take a bet that 3Q could actually show a profit for the first time this year.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (acap, centel, chow, demco, epco, epg, ifec, jas, lh, ncl, nncl, plat, prin, rs, spali) 21.09.16

Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, bsm, bwg, cgd, ecf, epco, ihl, jas, kool, lanna, lpn, nusa, ps, tasco) 20.09.16

AOT
AOT expects 2016 profit of more than Bt19bn. It expects 4Q16 profit of Bt4.2bn, growth of 10% YoY, supported by more passengers and more flights. (Kao Hoon, 20/09/16)
Comment: There have been mumurs that if Thailand really does crack down on the zero dollar tourists from China that AOT could lose 10% of revenues
BEAUTY
BEAUTY sets 2016-2020 revenue target growth of 20% each year supported by expanding into Asia. It expects to conclude a deal to set up a distributor in Hong Kong in 4Q16 and increase revenue from other business. It expects 2016 revenue of more than Bt2.1bn. (Kao Hoon, 20/09/16)
BSM
BSM expects 2H16 revenue and profit to grow supported by high season and signing a contract for a Bt100mn job in 4Q16. It maintains its 2016 revenue target at Bt700mn. (Kao Hoon, 20/09/16)
BWG
BWG plans an industrial waste power plant. Recently, it cooperated with EGCO to study a project to develop an industrial waste power plant. It expects to set up the first industrial power plant capacity of 9.4MW and COD within 2017. (Kao Hoon, 20/09/16)
Comment: This funny little company seems to be finding a way to make things happy
 
CGD
CGD gets B13bn for project. SET-listed Country Group Development Plc (CGD) has secured US$375 million (about 13 billion baht) through China Ping An Bank to continue developing luxury project Chao Phraya Estate. (Bangkok Post, 20/09/16)
Comment: Sounds like they had quite the capital crunch… 

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, bsm, bwg, cgd, ecf, epco, ihl, jas, kool, lanna, lpn, nusa, ps, tasco) 20.09.16

JAS MBO

So our favourite funny man in the telecom industry has announced this morning that he wants to buy out all the shares in JAS at THB 7.25/share.

If you remember your corp fin 101, MBO’s are typically done for a strong cash generative business and with plenty of cash on the b/s. Now JAS doesn’t quite the criteria on these 2 points, their business is stagnant given they’ve sold off the CF’s to a fund already and they’ve gone on a sharebuyback spree in since the 4G debacle. So how does this make any sense?  We have our theories but writing them publicly would definitely be considered slander..

Anyways..here are the official announcements:

Source: SET website: Intention to make a TO; Additional Explanation

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