Stocks in the news (asimar, com7, cpn, css, eic, gc, mill, pdg, qlt, seafco, sena, spa, super, sutha, tsr, uniq) 05.01.16

ASIMAR
ASIMAR expects 2015 net profit of Bt120-130mn after achieving Bt102.2mn in the first nine months of the year. (Thun Hoon, 05/01/16)

COM7
COM7 expects tax incentives to help revenue grow more than 25%. It expects 4Q15 sales to be good because it has 300 branches and many products for sale, including iPhone 6s and iPhone 6sPlus.(Khao Hoon, 05/01/16)
Comment: A 1 time shot, expect for 1Q #’s to look weak.

CPN
CPN has budgeted Bt400mn to invest in Pororo Aquapark Bangkok at Central Plaza Bangna. It expects this to increase traffic by 15-20%. (Khao Hoon, 05/01/16)

CSS
CSS expects 2016 revenue of Bt5.5bn (20-25% growth) as DTAC and TRUE get busy with expanding their 4G towers. It also expects to get jobs from AIS and JAS. It expects to get a solar farm at a cooperative, which is expected to be announced in 3Q16. (Thun Hoon, 05/01/16)
Comment: You can do the numbers and you’ll see its already fairly priced.

EIC
EIC plans to sell 30.2% of Smart Traffic shares to Smart Merchant International for Bt185mn. It expects this to contribute gain of Bt18.8mn. (Khao Hoon, 05/01/16)
Comments: Looks like a left pocket right pocket deal, wonder what the FA would say here…

Continue reading Stocks in the news (asimar, com7, cpn, css, eic, gc, mill, pdg, qlt, seafco, sena, spa, super, sutha, tsr, uniq) 05.01.16

Byron’s Top 10 Surprises for 2016

And its that time of the year for the top 10 surprises from Byron Wein, while he’s never 100% correct (who is?) it’s always interesting to know the potential “what-ifs”. See below for the all 10 surprises plus a link to the rest of the article.

  • Riding on the coattails of Hillary Clinton, the winner of the presidential race against Ted Cruz, the Democrats gain control of the Senate in November.  The extreme positions of the Republican presidential candidate on key issues are cited as factors contributing to this outcome.  Turnout is below expectations for both political parties.
  • The United States equity market has a down year.  Stocks suffer from weak earnings, margin pressure (higher wages and no pricing power) and a price- earnings ratio contraction.  Investors keeping large cash balances because of global instability is another reason for the disappointing performance
  • After the December rate increase, the Federal Reserve raises short-term interest rates by 25 basis points only once during 2016 in spite of having indicated on December 16 that they would do more.  A weak economy, poor corporate performance and struggling emerging markets are behind the cautious policy.  Reversing course and actually reducing rates is actively considered later in the year.  Real gross domestic product in the U.S. is below 2% for 2016.  

Continue reading Byron’s Top 10 Surprises for 2016