Stocks in the news (bwg, css, epg, ifec, inet, ivl, ori, pstc, ptg, pylon, ratch, richy, sim, tfg, tpoly) 31.05.16

BWG expects 2Q16 net profit to be good backed by revenue from industrial waste management service. It expects 2H16 earnings to be good aided by 9.4MW power plant and RDF (Refuse-Derived Fuel). It expects 2016 net profit of Bt379mn and expects to grow 50% next year backed by its 2nd power plant. (Thun Hoon, 31/05/16)
Comment: And they are issuing warrant after warrant for this. I’ve always liked the idea of industrial waste management but it looks like the focus of the company has shifted to powerplants more and more.
CSS expects to book revenue from communication system projects of ADVANC and DTAC. It expects 2016 revenue to hit its target of Bt5.3bn. It plans to take part in bidding for 15MW solar cell. It plans to expand abroad. (Thun Hoon, 31/05/16)
Comment: A retail darling at one point, could it be time for part 2?
EPG reported FY2016 net profit of Bt1.413bn, up 123%YoY, driven by all three business segments. It will pay a dividend of Bt0.12/share, XD on Aug 2. (Khao Hoon, 31/05/16)
IFEC expects 2Q16 net profit to back to the black from net loss in 1Q16 and higher than 2Q15 due to Bt700mn extra gain from debt restructuring at Dhara Dhevi. It expects Dhara Dhevi to exit from its rehabilitation plan in June and list on the SET in 2017. (Khao Hoon, 31/05/16)
Comment: Hmmm. Ok. A renewable hotel owner.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (bwg, css, epg, ifec, inet, ivl, ori, pstc, ptg, pylon, ratch, richy, sim, tfg, tpoly) 31.05.16

How Cheap Oil and Fewer Nose Jobs Hurt Thai Hospital Stocks

Hospital stocks in Thailand are now trading at nosebleed levels with the sector average at ~50x PE, but what I’ve learnt from the past, just because a company has a high PE doesn’t mean you should ignore it if the compounded growth potential is there. Here are some snippets and the link to the rest of the article

That’s clouding the outlook for Thailand’s health-care shares, which surged more than 800 percent over the past seven years, as valuations start to look stretched amid the falling demand. Bangkok’s Bumrungrad Hospital Plc, known as the grandaddy of international clinics, has slumped 16 percent since early March after patient volumes from the United Arab Emirates, its second-biggest source of overseas visitors, fell 20 percent in the first quarter.

Sitting at the apex of the industry is Bumrungrad, which attracts more than half a million foreign patients a year and has a network of 32 referral offices everywhere from Mongolia to Ethiopia. Sixty-seven percent of revenue came from overseas visitors last quarter, company figures show. Myanmar residents were the biggest source, accounting for 8.4 percent of total patients, followed by 8.3 percent from the U.A.E. and 5.9 percent from Oman

Source: Bloomberg 

Management Trades 23/05 – 27/05

Notable Transactions

Buy(s) THB 377.2mn

  • BDMS – And he’s still buying!
  • VNG – There’s been a lot of buyback by management here over the past few weeks. 200 MW in bio mass a definitive go?

Sell(s) THB 111.4mn

  • MAX – Looks like the attempt to do the reverse takeover has completely failed.


Stocks in the news (advanc, ajd, bem, bts, cpf, css, fire, forth, bm, mint, pca, ratch, samtel, scn, spali) 30.05.16

ADVANC asserts that financials are strong and it has no plan to increase capital. It plans to pay the first license fee payment of Bt8.04bn as scheduled and submit its bank guarantee before June 30. Dividend payout will be 100% of profit. It has budgeted Bt40bn to expand its network. (Kao Hoon, 30/5/16)
Comment: And with the call confirming the 100% payout maintained you’re saying shorts covering and some activity returning back to the stock, the key issue for the industry is still how crazy are True going to be with trying to capture market share.
AJD expects to expand to 50,000 on-line top-up machines to drive revenue to reach Bt1.6bn. It plans to expand its business to ASEAN in 2017. It expects to have more than 100,000 on-line top-up machines in 2018. (Kao Hoon, 30/5/16)
BEM expects to turn around after the MRT Purple Line is operating and bringing in revenue. It expects to get the MRT Blue Line job. This will support revenue growth of 10%. (Thun Hoon, 30/5/16)
BTS reported 2QFY16 net profit of Bt4.14bn or growth of 40%. It expects to pay a dividend of Bt0.34/share, XD on July 28. (Kao Hoon, 30/5/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (advanc, ajd, bem, bts, cpf, css, fire, forth, bm, mint, pca, ratch, samtel, scn, spali) 30.05.16

WHTW: Top 10

  • Cabinet nod for B2bn AIIB initial payment — The cabinet yesterday approved an initial payment of 2 billion baht from the central budget to the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). Thailand, which wants to become a full member of the bank, was required to make the payment before the AIIB holds its first annual meeting on June 25 and 26 in Beijing. (Bangkok Post, 25/5/16)
  • Exports fall 8% in April – Thai exports slipped back in April after two months of growth, hit by continued weak global demand and falling commodity and oil prices. (Bangkok Post, 26/5/16)
  • Three electric train auctions set for June – Three electric train projects worth a total of over 200 billion baht will be auctioned next month, says Deputy Prime Minister Somkid Jatusripitak.         The three are the Orange Line connecting Thailand Cultural Centre with Min Buri, worth 110 billion baht; the Pink Line from Khae Rai to Min Buri, worth 56.6 billion baht; and the Yellow Line from Lat Phrao to Samrong, worth 54.6 billion baht. (Bangkok Post, 26/5/16)
  • THE PRICE of rice in the domestic market is expected to increase by about 5-10 per cent late in the year after drought lowers the supply – The price of packed rice has increased by about Bt5-7.50 per 5-kilogram pack since the beginning of this year, but is still under the government’s official ceiling, he said. However, the supply of rice continues to drop, the price could increase in the third or fourth quarter of the year, Somkiat said. However, rice packers will not immediately increase retail prices as there are still enough stocks to last until September. (The Nation, 24/5/16)

Continue reading WHTW: Top 10

Stocks in the news (big, bjc, bkd, ci, epg, hana, ndr, prin, richy, rp, samart, tks, tmill, tpch, trc, tsr, tvd) 27.05.16

BIG expects 2Q16 earnings to be good with high margin of 32.4% backed by the mirrorless camera. It plans to open shops to provide photo printing in June, which will boost its net profit. (Thun Hoon, 27/05/16)
Comment: Their YoY growth numbers do look fantastic, the question then becomes, is it sustainable? What product can they push next to continue this growth or is there a natural limitation before the market becomes saturated.
BJC plans to increase its registered capital and issue debentures to refinance loans and repay bank creditors after acquiring BIGC .  (The Nation, 27/05/16)
Comment: Boom massive recap, more info to come
BKD plans to sell 20 rai of Krungthep Kreetha land. A listed company offered Bt600mn but it is holding out for a price of above Bt700mn as a road is coming that will provide access. (Khao Hoon, 27/05/16)
CI expects 1H16 earnings to be good thanks to property stimulus measures. It expects 2016 revenue of Bt3.15bn backed by transfers and Bt3.4bn in new projects. It expects this to increase its backlog from Bt3bn, covering revenue through 2018. (Thun Hoon, 27/05/16)
EPG expects to report FY2016 earnings today. It expects net profit to be higher than Bt1.5bn, 140% growth, backed by large orders for every business. (Khao Hoon, 27/05/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (big, bjc, bkd, ci, epg, hana, ndr, prin, richy, rp, samart, tks, tmill, tpch, trc, tsr, tvd) 27.05.16

Stocks in the news (aot, egco, epg, fn, gold, gunkul, lit, nncl, pf, preb, ps, sappe, tcc, tmill) 26.05.16

The board of directors of Airports of Thailand’s (AOT) yesterday approved the master plan for the development of Chiang Mai airport. The project will be carried out in two phases. The first, set for 2016 to 2025, is aimed at boosting the airport’s passenger capacity to serve 18 million travelers a year. In the second phase, from 2026 to 2030, the capacity will be further increased to serve 20 million passengers per year, of which 8 million will be international passengers and 12 million domestic travelers. (The Nation, 26/5/16)
Comment: And the monopoly will continue growing, interesting fact learnt last night, Thailand has ~30-40 mn visitors p.a., Spain has ~70mn. 
EGCO expects to book revenue from Khanom power plant unit 4 in 3Q16 and expects to start commercial operations on June 19, 2016. The Chaiyaphum wind farm is expected to start up in late 2016. It plans to expand its business abroad, with an eye especially on the Philippines. It plans to cooperate with a partner to invest in a battery storage electrical system. (Kao Hoon, 26/5/16)
EPG expects 2017 revenue to grow to Bt10bn supported by continued growth in its overall business. Government projects will increase construction materials demand. It expects the board to approve new investment. (Thun Hoon, 26/5/16)
Comment: But the driver is still going to be the shift from metal based materials on automotives to plastic based. 
FN sent filing to the SEC for an IPO of 250 million shares. It plans to expand its branches and renovate old branches. (Thun Hoon, 26/5/16)
GOLD expects 2Q16 to be good supported by property tax incentives. It expects 2016 revenue will hit its target of Bt9.7bn supported by more demand. It plans to build a condo and open 12 new projects. This will increase its backlog from Bt4bn. (Thun Hoon, 26/5/16)
Comment: Their issue, just as we have already seen with PS, is that there is a certain limitation to how far a property company can grow in Thailand as Bangkok is the only real targetable market.
GUNKUL plans to acquire a company that has a solar farm PPA. It expects to get 150MW this year. It expects more revenue in 2H16. It plans to increase its revenue target of Bt5.8bn in 3Q16. (Thun Hoon, 26/5/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, egco, epg, fn, gold, gunkul, lit, nncl, pf, preb, ps, sappe, tcc, tmill) 26.05.16

BEM receiving THB 8 bn?

It’s been in the news for a while that BEM has been fighting with EXAT to get back someTHB 8 bn in lost revenue..

“The Expressway Authority of Thailand (Exat) has decided to petition the Administrative Court, asking it to revoke an arbitration committee’s order that it pay more than 8 billion baht in compensation to Bangkok Expressway and Metro Plc (BEM) over a toll hike dispute. “

…for the following reasons…

In” 2003, Exat and BEM became involved in a dispute about raising toll fees on the second-stage expressway system. BEM is responsible for the section management, including collecting toll fees.

Under the contract, the fees must be raised every five years by between five and 10 baht. The increase depends on the Consumer Price Index in that year.

Exat in 2003 did not permit a toll rise after it took the view the index point level should be rounded down, with the result it failed to reach the point where the hike would be five baht. BEM insisted it should be rounded up to make the increase five baht.

On Feb 12 this year, the arbitration committee ruled Exat must pay BEM compensation of 8.16 billion baht, including an interest payment of 3.77 billion baht.”

…so just imagine what if they do win? note 1Q16 revenues and profits were THB 3.1 bn and THB 700mn respectively.

Source: Bangkok Post

Stocks in the news (advanc, dtac, gpsc, gunkul, jwd, kcm, kkp, lpn, nch, ptg, pttep, solar, spcg, top, tru, vng) 25.05.16

ADVANC has confirmed that it will be bidding for the 900MHz on May 27 with a bid of Bt75.65bn. (Kao Hoon, 25/5/16)
DTAC unfazed by more 4G competition — The country’s second-largest mobile operator shrugged off increased competition from its rivals, saying that Advanced Info Service (AIS) and True Move will also face high licensing-based fourth-generation (4G) spectrum costs similar to DTAC’s. (Bangkok Post, 25/5/16)
GPSC is confident that it will have IPP and SPP capacity of more than 1922MW and stream production of 1,582 tons/hour within 2019. ( Thun Hoon, 25/5/16)
GUNKUL has backlog of Bt1.5-1.6bn. It expects to get more jobs to construct solar farms. It expects 2016 revenue growth of 20-30%. (Kao Hoon, 25/5/16)
Comment: Quite the drop in backlog for GUNKUL but because they already have invested and built/are completing their projects I don’t think management quite cares to focus on new projects .
JWD and JB TRADING are setting up a JV to develop a warehouse in Laos which has area of 3,200sqm and total cost of Bt75mn. It expects to finish and book revenue in 2017. (Kao Hoon, 25/5/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (advanc, dtac, gpsc, gunkul, jwd, kcm, kkp, lpn, nch, ptg, pttep, solar, spcg, top, tru, vng) 25.05.16

Stocks in the news (aav, ap, bkd, bts, jmart, ori, ptt, seafco, smt, spali, synex, tfg, tpoly, ttcl, tvd, wha) 24.05.16

AAV expects 2Q16 earnings continue to be good supported by passenger growth and lower oil price. It plans to open four new routes. In 1Q16 earnings was over Bt1bn due to high season. (Thun Hoon, 24/5/16)
AP launched two new condominiums valued at Bt3.64bn. Presales will be held on June 4-5. It targets presales of Bt1.5bn. More than 3,000 customers have registered. (Kao Hoon, 24/5/16)
BKD is confident that 2Q16 earnings will continue to grow. It expects to increase its target revenue growth from 20% in 2H16. It has backlog of Bt1.57bn and will book 76% this year. It will bid for new jobs valued at more than Bt3bn and expects to 40-50% of its bids. (Kao Hoon, 24/5/16)
BTS Group buys 46 trains for Bt11bn. BTSC has signed a contract to buy 46 new trains worth 11 billion baht from Siemens AG and CRRC Changchun Railway Vehicles. The contract provides 46 trains from the two firms, with four cars per train, to be used for the Green Line extension. The money will come from cash flow and loans. It plans to big for the upcoming Pink and Orange lines in the form of public-private partnership. It has a healthy financial position with Bt12bn worth of cash on hand and a low D/E of 0.28, management said.
Comment: Good luck trying to understand their balance sheet, it looks a bit like an investment company versus a pure transit play. 
JMART expects 2Q16 earnings to grow as consumer purchasing power recovers. It is confident that 2016 revenue and profit will grow, supported by 3G and 4G. (Kao Hoon, 24/5/16)
Comment: Given how poor the phone industry has been they’ve done an ok job but still don’t believe in the turnaround in the market.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aav, ap, bkd, bts, jmart, ori, ptt, seafco, smt, spali, synex, tfg, tpoly, ttcl, tvd, wha) 24.05.16