How Cheap Oil and Fewer Nose Jobs Hurt Thai Hospital Stocks

Hospital stocks in Thailand are now trading at nosebleed levels with the sector average at ~50x PE, but what I’ve learnt from the past, just because a company has a high PE doesn’t mean you should ignore it if the compounded growth potential is there. Here are some snippets and the link to the rest of the article

That’s clouding the outlook for Thailand’s health-care shares, which surged more than 800 percent over the past seven years, as valuations start to look stretched amid the falling demand. Bangkok’s Bumrungrad Hospital Plc, known as the grandaddy of international clinics, has slumped 16 percent since early March after patient volumes from the United Arab Emirates, its second-biggest source of overseas visitors, fell 20 percent in the first quarter.

Sitting at the apex of the industry is Bumrungrad, which attracts more than half a million foreign patients a year and has a network of 32 referral offices everywhere from Mongolia to Ethiopia. Sixty-seven percent of revenue came from overseas visitors last quarter, company figures show. Myanmar residents were the biggest source, accounting for 8.4 percent of total patients, followed by 8.3 percent from the U.A.E. and 5.9 percent from Oman

Source: Bloomberg 

Management Trades 23/05 – 27/05

Notable Transactions

Buy(s) THB 377.2mn

  • BDMS – And he’s still buying!
  • VNG – There’s been a lot of buyback by management here over the past few weeks. 200 MW in bio mass a definitive go?

Sell(s) THB 111.4mn

  • MAX – Looks like the attempt to do the reverse takeover has completely failed.


Stocks in the news (advanc, ajd, bem, bts, cpf, css, fire, forth, bm, mint, pca, ratch, samtel, scn, spali) 30.05.16

ADVANC asserts that financials are strong and it has no plan to increase capital. It plans to pay the first license fee payment of Bt8.04bn as scheduled and submit its bank guarantee before June 30. Dividend payout will be 100% of profit. It has budgeted Bt40bn to expand its network. (Kao Hoon, 30/5/16)
Comment: And with the call confirming the 100% payout maintained you’re saying shorts covering and some activity returning back to the stock, the key issue for the industry is still how crazy are True going to be with trying to capture market share.
AJD expects to expand to 50,000 on-line top-up machines to drive revenue to reach Bt1.6bn. It plans to expand its business to ASEAN in 2017. It expects to have more than 100,000 on-line top-up machines in 2018. (Kao Hoon, 30/5/16)
BEM expects to turn around after the MRT Purple Line is operating and bringing in revenue. It expects to get the MRT Blue Line job. This will support revenue growth of 10%. (Thun Hoon, 30/5/16)
BTS reported 2QFY16 net profit of Bt4.14bn or growth of 40%. It expects to pay a dividend of Bt0.34/share, XD on July 28. (Kao Hoon, 30/5/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (advanc, ajd, bem, bts, cpf, css, fire, forth, bm, mint, pca, ratch, samtel, scn, spali) 30.05.16