Stocks in the news (advanc, bem, br, brr, ecf, egco, pstc, seafco, smt, tcmc, top, tru, tsr) 29.06.16

ADVANC
ADVANC made ITS first payment of Bt8.6bn with A Bt72.3bn bank guarantee for 900MHz. It expects to handle 2G clients before being shut down. It expects higher earnings from less expense of Bt4bn. (Khao Hoon, 29/06/16)
Comment: There’s a lot of analysts expecting 2Q16 to be the peak for ADVANC earnings for the next 2 years
 
BEM
BEM expects 2016 net profit of Bt2.1bn mainly driven by MRT. (Khao Hoon, 29/06/16)
BR
BR expects to revise down 2016 revenue target growth from 10-15% because of higher competition in Europe, and excess supply in Poland and Hungary. (Post Today, 29/06/16)
BRR
BRR expects an increase in revenue from biomass power plants from Bt19mn/month to Bt25mn/month after it changed from adder scheme to FiT scheme. (Khao Hoon, 29/06/16)
Comment: Completely forgot that some sugar companies will benefit somewhat from this as well.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (advanc, bem, br, brr, ecf, egco, pstc, seafco, smt, tcmc, top, tru, tsr) 29.06.16

Mentorship and The Smartest Man

I’ve always enjoyed reading Byron Wien’s “The Smartest Man in Europe” papers and now it shall come to an end as the previously anonymous gentleman, Edgar de Picciotto, has passed away. Here’s a snippet and link to the article, definitely worth the read.

Over the years I learned that he didn’t think like other investors, and I wondered about the formative events in his background. He was descended from a mercantile family whose roots stretch back hundreds of years to the days when they operated canteens along the Silk Route, providing food and weather protection to travelers moving to and from China and India. Born in Lebanon and educated in Europe, he came to the United States for training in finance. Sensing great opportunity as Europe recovered from World War II, he settled in Geneva and began managing the wealth that was accumulating on the continent. He was an early investor in hedge funds and his reputation as a person who could identify secular change, talent and undervalued assets ahead of others grew over the years.

Source: Blackstone

Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, bjchi, cbg, global, itd, lh, nok, oto, sawad, spcg, tasco, tpch, tsr, tvt, uv, vpo, wha) 28.06.16

AOT
AOT expects to benefit from recovery in tourism, more passengers, and growth in flights by low-cost airlines. It targets non-aviation revenue to comprise 50% within three years. It plans to expand terminals in order to handle 6-8% passenger growth each year. (Thun Hoon, 28/06/16)
BEAUTY
BEAUTY expects 1H16 net profit of Bt169.61mn driven by large orders. It expects 2016 revenue to rise 20% from last year on high demand. (Thun Hoon, 28/06/16)
Comment: And the machine still continues..and I continue to bang my head against the wall.
 
BJCHI
BJCHI took part in a Bt6bn bid abroad. It expects this to increase its backlog from Bt4.2bn. It targets 2016revenue to grow 15% from Bt5.75bn, aided by transfers. (Thun Hoon, 28/06/16)
CBG
CBG plans to expand to Europe. It expects this to strength its brand awareness. It expects 2016 revenue to grow 15-20% driven by a larger local market. (Thun Hoon, 28/06/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, bjchi, cbg, global, itd, lh, nok, oto, sawad, spcg, tasco, tpch, tsr, tvt, uv, vpo, wha) 28.06.16

Stocks in the news (cho, chow, cig, epg, fpi, ilink, kool, mcs, ncl, ps, samco, tog, tsr) 27.06.16

CHO
CHO expects to show net profit in 2Q16 from net loss of Bt9.12mn. It expects 2H16 earnings to be good backed by transfers and Bt652mn backlog. It expects 2016 revenue to achieve its target at 10%. It expects to get the Bt4mn NGV bus project, which will be announced in July. (Thun Hoon, 27/06/16)
CHOW
CHOW plans for subsidiary CE to submit filing to launch Bt380mn IPO and expects to trade in mai. It will use the funding to expand its power business at home and abroad. (Khao Hoon, 27/06/16)
Comment: They are continuing on their shift to more renewable energy projects
 
CIG
CIG has a deal with a foreign partner to launch a new product with expected revenue of Bt200mn. It expects 2016 revenue turn to positive from loss of Bt7.24mn last year. It is considering paying a dividend. It expects FY2016 revenue of over Bt1bn. It plans to increase revenue portion from exports to over 50%. (Thun Hoon, 27/06/15)
EPG
A Hong Kong fund is interested in EPG because of its strong fundamentals. It expects this to be clarified soon. It will gain from a weaker baht after the UK leaves the EU. (Thun Hoon, 27/06/15)
FPI
FPI expects 2Q16 earnings to be good boosted by large orders. It expects 2016 revenue to hit target growth of 10% after the auto sector bottomed out. It expects to run new machinery, which will increase its capacity by 15%. It will use the capacity to handle OEM orders. (Khao Hoon, 27/06/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (cho, chow, cig, epg, fpi, ilink, kool, mcs, ncl, ps, samco, tog, tsr) 27.06.16

Management Trades 20/04 – 24/06

Notable Transactions

Buy(s) THB 285 mn

  • BDMS – And he’s still continually buying shares
  • AJ – For a moment I was quite curious what’s going on until I see its a shareswap

Sell(s) THB 186 MN

  • AJ – See above
  • IHL – Second big sale here
  • MAJOR – A first I think, I haven’t seen K. Wichai (to the best of my memory) ever sell shares before

160628 mgmt_trades

WHTW: Top 10

  • Thaicom urges govt to weigh impact of extra fees – THE GOVERNMENT should consider the impact on Thaicom if it slaps additional conditions or more regulatory fees on two of the company’s satellites, chief executive officer Paiboon Panuwattanawong said in a statement released yesterday. (The Nation, 22/6/16)
  • Thai airlines spared from EASA blacklist – Thai-registered airlines have avoided being put on the list of airlines with sub-standard safety practices in the latest audit by the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), Transport Minister Arkhom Termpittayapaisith said yesterday. (Bangkok Post, 22/6/16)
  • Preserving policy space for risks — The Bank of Thailand’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) held off yesterday on monetary easing as widely expected, citing the expected trajectories for economic growth recovery and rising inflation as grounds for its decision. (Bangkok Post,23/6/16)
  • Long rainy season to precede big storms — After suffering one year of severe drought from El Nino, Thailand is now bracing itself for La Nina, another weather phenomenon that is expected to bring excessive rainfall. (Bangkok Post, 24/6/16)
  • Rice exports to get a boost in the second half of this year — THE COMMERCE Ministry expects rice exports to increase in the latter half of this year and meet this year’s target of 9.5 million tonnes, amid constant demand for the staple. (The Nation, 24/6/16) Continue reading WHTW: Top 10

Stocks in the news (abc, age, aot, banpu, bbl, ck, gift, kbank, kce, pap, ptg, sena, sgp, super, vng, thana, tpbi, tvo) 24.06.16

ABC
ABC targets 2016 revenue of Bt2bn. It plans to wipe out retained losses by launching Above Sukhumvit 39 in 3Q16. It plans to launch ABC Pet World in 4Q16 if its board approves on June 29. (Thun Hoon, 24/06/16)
Comment: Anybody else understand the business model of this company?
 
AGE
AGE expects to take part in 36MW PPA and expects to be a winner. Its cash on hand is Bt600mn which it believes will be enough for investment. It expects 2Q16 earnings to be good thanks to cost control. It expects 2016 revenue and net profit to grow, boosted by Bt300mn from its services business. It expects exports to comprise 50%. (Khao Hoon, 24/06/16)
Comment: It’s likely to be a JV should they win a 36 MW PPA 
 
AOT
AOT reports passengers of 81mn in the first 8 months of its fiscal year (ending Sep), up 12.43%. Flights rose 10% to 519,140. (Khao Hoon, 24/06/16)
BANPU
BANPU expects to benefit from higher coal imports in China, which rose 62.2% in May 2016 compared to May 2015. (Thun Hoon, 24/06/16)
Comment: Could this be Thai Airways part 2 in terms of stock price movement?
 
BBL
BBL targets 2016 loan growth of 3-4%. It expects 2Q16 earnings to move with the economy and government stimulus measures. (Khao Hoon, 24/06/16) BIG BIG says it has risen to a 55% market share driven by expansion. It expects the industry to recover. It expects net profit to grow 71% this year and 12% next year. (Thun Hoon, 24/06/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (abc, age, aot, banpu, bbl, ck, gift, kbank, kce, pap, ptg, sena, sgp, super, vng, thana, tpbi, tvo) 24.06.16

Stocks in the news (ap, arrow, bem, cpn, eason, global, jmt, lhbank, ptt, qh, smm, trc) 23.06.16

AP
AP reports presales of Bt10.5bn for the first five months of the year. It plans to launch 13 projects in 2H16, valued at Bt25.3bn. It targets 2016 presales of Bt31bn with revenue of Bt23.7bn backed by Bt14.7bn backlog. (Khao Hoon, 23/06/16)
ARROW
ARROW expects to get 60% market share because of its strength. It is confident it has potential to handle mega projects. It expects to get large orders from MRT, Suvarnabhumi Phase 2, moving cable to underground, motorway, and private projects. It expects 2016 net profit to mark a record high of Bt300mn, up 22.1%. (Thun Hoon, 23/06/16)
Comment: Their stock price has been declining in the past few months despite the continued growth. 
 
BEM
BEM expects to open Sri Rat outer ring road by August. It expects 97,000 cars/day. It expects this to increase revenue by Bt1.7bn. (Thun Hoon, 23/06/16)
Comment: Just have to love oligopolies
 
CPN
CPN expects 2016-2017 net profit to grow 18-20% aided by opening a new shopping mall and increasing rental and occupancy rate. It expects 2016 net profit of Bt9.49bn. (Khao Hoon, 23/06/16)
Comment: And they’ll have a kicker with condominiums

Continue reading Stocks in the news (ap, arrow, bem, cpn, eason, global, jmt, lhbank, ptt, qh, smm, trc) 23.06.16