So our favourite funny man in the telecom industry has announced this morning that he wants to buy out all the shares in JAS at THB 7.25/share.

If you remember your corp fin 101, MBO’s are typically done for a strong cash generative business and with plenty of cash on the b/s. Now JAS doesn’t quite the criteria on these 2 points, their business is stagnant given they’ve sold off the CF’s to a fund already and they’ve gone on a sharebuyback spree in since the 4G debacle. So how does this make any sense?  We have our theories but writing them publicly would definitely be considered slander..

Anyways..here are the official announcements:

Source: SET website: Intention to make a TO; Additional Explanation

Stocks in the news (age, ccn, fsmart, pimo, pstc, ptt, rpc, seafco, smt, spali, sta, super, thai, tsr, tvo) 19.09.16

AGE maintain its revenue target growth of 10% supported by more than 2mn tons coal sales. It expects to finish a deal with a partner to do a coal warehouse in Vietnam by the end of 2016. (Kao Hoon, 19/09/16)
CCN expects to get a government job from the Industry 4.0 project. It expects 2H16 earnings to grow, supported by booking backlog of Bt100mn. It is confident that 2016 revenue will reach its 20% target growth backed by Bt150mn from its telecommunication business. It is negotiating with a partner to do alternative power business . (Thun Hoon, 19/09 /16)
Comment: Well not sure how much of an impact the government news will have on this little IT System integrator. I’d turn my eyes to the bigger players SAMTEL and AIT and possible even MFEC
FSMART expects 3Q16 profit record new high of Bt100mn or growth 40% YoY supported by Boon Term Top Up machine. (Kao Hoon, 19/09/16)
Comment: No surprises here, they just keep growing
PIMO expects 2016 profit to jump 92% to Bt46mn supported by more orders. It expects 2017 profit of Bt72mn due to new orders from US customer in 1Q17. It plans to invest in BLDC motor technology. (Kao Hoon, 19/09/16)
Comment: Another small player, THB 1 bn mkt cap, not particularly cheap nor scalable.
PSTC expects 2016 revenue growth and profit to double after booking backlog of Bt300-400mn. It expects revenue from its power plant to grow in 4Q16. It has completed a deal to do a biomass power plant and 50MW cogeneration power plant in ASEAN. (Kao Hoon, 19/09/16)
Comment: There’s a lot of news about biomass and waste to energy expected to be announced within the next few weeks.
PTT expects to bring service stations to 200 this year. It expects revenue of Bt520bn. It has a plan to expand to 500 service stations abroad within five years and sell more Amazon franchises in Japan. (Thun Hoon, 19/09/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (age, ccn, fsmart, pimo, pstc, ptt, rpc, seafco, smt, spali, sta, super, thai, tsr, tvo) 19.09.16

Market Update 12/09 – 16/09

Well its mid-way through my favourite month of the year and the SET is down some -4.5%, why? Well we know why but can’t type it in public, though from what I’ve been told everything has been pre-arranged internally. You take from that what you will. The Fed is supposedly meeting soon and that should add another round of volatility to the markets this month and a lot of local brokers are stating that because the FTSE rebalancing is done that we may see more weakness in the market. Fun times for sure.

00sum 01charts

Management Trades 12/09 – 16/09

Notable Transactions

Buy(s) THB 167 mn

  • BTW – A switch between shareholders
  • EARTH – Oh he’s back to buying shares again. One of the strangest coal companies around..

Sell(s) THB 435 mn

  • ORI –  This was the block sale to Templeton
  • PT – Interesting that after he sold the block of shares the share price moved
  • RS – Does the owner not believe in his cosmetic products?
  • BTW – See above