Tag Archives: BJC

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (ap, bem, bjc, genco, j, mill, mono, pimo, rojna, tvd) 31.08.16

3 Comments

AP

AP expects to open 12 new projects in 2H16 in total worth Bt25.58bn. This will support 2016 presales to hit its target of Bt31bn. Presales are at Bt14.07bn with backlog of Bt17.06bn, of which it will book Bt8.7bn this year. It is confident that revenue will reach target of Bt23.7bn. (Kao Hoon, 31/08/16)

Comment: One of the few property developers that may show growth next year, some analysts are writing +30% in EPS

 

BEM

BEM expects 4Q16 to be good, supported by more than Bt3.6bn in revenue from Sriratch expressway and Purple Line, with 2016 revenue of Bt13.1bn. It expects profit growth of no less than 9%. It expects no effect from the fare reduction for the Purple Line as it is offset by a steady increase in passenger volume. (Thun Hoon, 31/08/16)

BJC

BJC cut its 2016 revenue target growth to 7-9% in response to lower sales. However, it expects profit to increase from a change in is sales strategy . (Kao Hoon, 31/08/16)

Comment: Metro in VN looks exactly like MAKRO, regardless the story for BJC is all around BIGC

 

GENCO

GENCO has set up 2 subsidiaries to prepare to build a 9.9MW power plant. (Kao Hoon, 31/08/16)

J

J expects 2H16 continue to grow supported by booking more revenue. It targets 2016 revenue growth of 30%. It has budgeted Bt1bn to develop projects at Srinakarin worth more than Bt600mn and land acquisition which expects to open at the end of the year. It plans to set up an REIT worth Bt500mn next year. (Kao Hoon, 31/08/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (ap, bem, bjc, genco, j, mill, mono, pimo, rojna, tvd) 31.08.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (beauty, bjc, btw, ea, gpsc, itd, malee, ple, pttep, seafco, tfg, top, tpoly, vgi, work) 24.08.16

Leave a comment
BEAUTY
BEAUTY expects 2H16 high season to support its sales. It is confident that 2016 revenue will grow more than 20%. It plans to expand its branches in Thailand and abroad. (Kao Hoon, 24/08/16)
Comment: The odd thing is that we are seeing management sell shares in the market 
 
BJC
BJC expands glass output capacity – BERLI JUCKER(BJC) is investing Bt2 billion in the construction of a new furnace with a production capacity of 300 tonnes of glass a day, in order to cater to rising demand for glass containers. (The Nation, 24/08/16)
Comment: Watch them dominate Thailand and Vietnam along with Central Group
 
BTW
BTW announced a dividend of Bt0.27/share, XD today and payment on Sep 9. It has backlog of Bt1.56bn and expects 2H16 earnings to be good. (Thun Hoon, 24/08/16)
EA
EA plans to COD a 126MW wind power plant at Nakhon Si Thammarat at the end of 2016. This will lift capacity to 404MW, doubled from 2015. It expects 2016 earnings to be a new high. It plans to do five more projects in Chaiyaphum worth Bt20bn to increase capacity to 64MW. (Thun Hoon, 24/08/16)
GPSC
GPSC expects 2016 revenue and profit to jump due to booking revenue from IRPC, Nava Nakorn power plant and more new customers. It announced a five-year plan to have capacity of 2,800MW and expects the board to approve its investment budget of Bt19bn. (Kao Hoon, 24/08/16)
ITD
ITD get a big project worth more than Bt1.28bn to bring backlog up to over Bt200bn. It expects earnings to turn to profit after it reported a net loss in 2Q16. (Thun Hoon, 24/08/16)
Comment: With the recent win @ AOT, will they have to raise capital again?
 
MALEE
Malee Group and Mega Lifesciences will set up a 49:51 joint venture called Mega Malee Company to develop health-related natural foods and beverages for both local and international markets. Initial investment is put at Bt10 million. (The Nation, 23/08/16)
Comment: That added a little pop to both their share prices that day

Continue reading Stocks in the news (beauty, bjc, btw, ea, gpsc, itd, malee, ple, pttep, seafco, tfg, top, tpoly, vgi, work) 24.08.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (banpu, bjc, bts, fvc, ifec, ivl, ktis, mc, mjd, preb, pt, tfg, thani, uniq, vte) 11.07.16

Leave a comment
BANPU
BANPU expects to benefit from BPP because it has a 70MW solar farm in China. It expects the remaining 20MW to start up by 3Q16. (Khao Hoon, 11/07/16)
BJC
BJC has cancelled its capital increase PP of 800mn shares as investors needed more time to decide but the company had time constraints. It will do a rights offering next time around. (Khao Hoon, 11/07/16)
Comment: It’s no surprise that it failed because the RO has just done at 35, which investor would accept a PP @ 40?
 
BTS
BTS expects to sign the contract to operate MRT Green Line extension (North-South) by Dec 2016. It targets passenger growth of 5-6%. It expects operate the MRT Pink, Yellow, and Orange lines. It says its property business is still good, with backlog reaching Bt10.642bn. It expects this to contribute revenue till 2019. (Thun Hoon, 11/07/16)
FVC
FVC is studying investing in a new business. It expects 2H16 earnings to be good aided by Bt200mn from its medical business. It expects 2016 revenue to reach its target of Bt400-500mn. It expects net profit to be back to black this year. (Thun Hoon, 11/07/16)
IFEC
IFEC expects Dhara Dhevi to exit from rehabilitation at the end of August. It expects to book extra gain from debt restructuring in 2Q16. It expects to sell land and residences. It expects to complete the purchase of solar and wind power plants in 3Q16. It targets operations of 100MW this year. (Khao Hoon, 11/07/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (banpu, bjc, bts, fvc, ifec, ivl, ktis, mc, mjd, preb, pt, tfg, thani, uniq, vte) 11.07.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (aot, bjc, bkd, ivl, lph, lpn, maco, mcs, nwr, pca, ps, rs, tf, vgi) 04.07.16

Leave a comment
AOT
AOT is confident that FY2016 profit will be a new high. It reports 1H16 profit of Bt10.1bn supported by tourism recovery. It targets 2016 passengers of more than 12.5%. It will increase its investment budget to Bt194bn to develop six airports and increase non-aeronautical ratio to 50%. (Thun Hoon, 04/07/16)
BJC
BJC announces a second rights offering of not over 807,779,000 shares. It will indicate the number of shares that will be issued for a PP on July 8, 2016. (Kao Hoon, 04/07/16)
BKD
BKD expects 2016 net profit growth of 245.8% after booking an extra item of Bt410mn from the sale of 20 rai. It expects average revenue growth of 38.5% per year. It expects 2016 revenue to exceed Bt1.45bn. (Thun Hoon, 04/07/16)
IVL
IVL confirms that Brexit will not affect its business. It expects 2Q16 to show continued growth, supported by more orders and booking profit from acquiring a business. (Kao Hoon, 04/07/16)
Comment: One of the few commodity related names to not yet have rebounded post “brexit”

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, bjc, bkd, ivl, lph, lpn, maco, mcs, nwr, pca, ps, rs, tf, vgi) 04.07.16 →

Commentary, Market, Research, Special Events

Random Thoughts: Stuff to read, JAS & BJC

3 Comments

Here’s some things that I’m finally catching up reading after going through all 1Q earnings…

Bill Gross – Investment Outlook June 2016

Anyway, my basic thrust in this Outlook will be to observe that all forms of “carry” in financial markets are  compressed, resulting in artificially high asset prices and a distortion of future risk relative to potential return that an investor must confront.

Source: Janus Capital Group

Memo’s from Howard Marks

For me, the bottom line on economic reality is that, in the short run, governments theoretically have the ability to:

  • accelerate economic activity, bringing forward to today otherwise-future activity,
  • make life better for one group of citizens at the expense of another (e.g., the rich versus the poor), and
  • encourage one form of activity versus others (e.g., investing for capital gains versus investing for dividends).

Source: Oaktree Capital

Mary Meeker Internet Report 2016

Far too many quotes here, but it’s an interesting fact based report on trends from the internet, cars, china etc etc

Source: KPCB

BJC – “We need money asap”

Is this really a shocker? Well here’s the official story, now BJC holds 97.94% in BIGC

Capital restructure plan to finance Bt240bn acquisition costs

– Right offering 1:1 at Bt35 (1600*35=~Bt56bn)
– Private placement 800m shares at no less than Bt35 (>=Bt28bn)
– Bt156bn loans.

EGM is set on 29 June, RO on 23-21 July.

After the capital restructure, net D/E is expected to be 1.3x

Synergy target of Bt1.7bn will be implemented over 3 yrs through 8 key areas.

1. Private labels-production of BIGC private labels, new product developments and raw meterials
2. Logistics(the largest portion of Bt1.7bn synergies)- leverage existing WHs across the group and increase utilization of facilities and transport assets (ex. backhauling)
3. Promote BJC products-exclusive BJC products at BIGC stores
4. IT-leverage BIGC IT knowledge in BJC’s other retail biz
5. Special projects-jointly develop new biz opp ex asia books, pop-up stores/new platform for BJC ventures in BIGC stores
6. Real estate (second biggest portion)-development opportunities within the group to real estate portfolio
7. Retail operation-align trade term, leverage operation synergies across retail formats

JAS – “Under the table?”

So the NBTC levied a fine of “only”  thb 199.42 mn and won’t go after the broadband, TV nor internet licenses under JAS. So that’s it, end of the story, I’m bored of reading about JAS. But am curious to see what else he’s going to try and do.

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (ait, bjc, chow, ck, dcorp, ea, forth, gpsc, lit, samco, sat, seafco, sgp, super, tmb) 03.06.16

Leave a comment
AIT
AIT has backlog of Bt2.73bn, which it expects to realize in two years. It plans to bid for new jobs worth Bt18bn and expects to get at least 45-50%. It plans to expand its Data Center project with a partner with a budget of Bt800mn. It is negotiating with a partner to add new products in Cambodia and Laos. (Thun Hoon, 3/6/16)
Comment: It does look like the IT project sector his beinnng to show some life
BJC
BJC expects 2016 revenue growth of 300% supported by BIGC earnings. It expects to finish the rights offering and private placement in July-August. It plans funding of Bt80bn. (Kao Hoon, 3/6/16)
Comment: and a dilution of … ?
 
CHOW
CHOW reported 1Q16 profit growth 381.60% supported by steel business recovery and more orders. It is building a new 12MW facility in Japan and expects to be able to record revenue from at least 80MW. It has EPC backlog of ¥12bn. (Thun Hoon, 3/6/16)
Comment: perhaps one of the few companies to have made a proper concerted effort to shift from construction to alternatives
CK
CK expects to sign the Bt19.4bn contract to construct Sayaburi in 2Q16, lifting its backlog to Bt97bn. If BEM gets the Blue Line job, it expects to get a contract to build the rail network valued at Bt25bn. (Kao Hoon, 3/6/16)
DCORP
DCORP bought 40% in a solar power plant in the Philippines from two companies. The plant has capacity of 320MW. It expects to spend no more than US$15.36mn. It expects to finish the deal in July. It expects sustainable revenue and profit growth. (Thun Hoon, 3/6/16)
Comment: #s don’t quite add up if it only costs USD 15mn to buy a stake in a powerr plant that has 320MW in capacity

Continue reading Stocks in the news (ait, bjc, chow, ck, dcorp, ea, forth, gpsc, lit, samco, sat, seafco, sgp, super, tmb) 03.06.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (big, bjc, bkd, ci, epg, hana, ndr, prin, richy, rp, samart, tks, tmill, tpch, trc, tsr, tvd) 27.05.16

Leave a comment
BIG
BIG expects 2Q16 earnings to be good with high margin of 32.4% backed by the mirrorless camera. It plans to open shops to provide photo printing in June, which will boost its net profit. (Thun Hoon, 27/05/16)
Comment: Their YoY growth numbers do look fantastic, the question then becomes, is it sustainable? What product can they push next to continue this growth or is there a natural limitation before the market becomes saturated.
 
BJC
BJC plans to increase its registered capital and issue debentures to refinance loans and repay bank creditors after acquiring BIGC .  (The Nation, 27/05/16)
Comment: Boom massive recap, more info to come
 
BKD
BKD plans to sell 20 rai of Krungthep Kreetha land. A listed company offered Bt600mn but it is holding out for a price of above Bt700mn as a road is coming that will provide access. (Khao Hoon, 27/05/16)
CI
CI expects 1H16 earnings to be good thanks to property stimulus measures. It expects 2016 revenue of Bt3.15bn backed by transfers and Bt3.4bn in new projects. It expects this to increase its backlog from Bt3bn, covering revenue through 2018. (Thun Hoon, 27/05/16)
EPG
EPG expects to report FY2016 earnings today. It expects net profit to be higher than Bt1.5bn, 140% growth, backed by large orders for every business. (Khao Hoon, 27/05/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (big, bjc, bkd, ci, epg, hana, ndr, prin, richy, rp, samart, tks, tmill, tpch, trc, tsr, tvd) 27.05.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (aot, aqua, bigc, bjc, ccn, earth, ifec, ihl, maco, mtls, pttgc, qtc, singer, siri, smt, tsr, uv, xo) 26.04.16

3 Comments
AOT
AOT expects 2QFY16 earnings to peak backed by 197,913 flights (+9.4%) and 32.3mn passengers. It expects 389,272 flights in 1HFY16 (10.6% growth) and 61.2mn passengers. (Khao Hoon, 26/04/16)
Comment: It’s just incredible, time to start a pool on when passengers hit 100 mn
AQUA
AQUA will pay dividend of 100% of profit with Bt900mn cash on hand. It plans to list its subsidiary (TCDC) by 3Q16. (Khao Hoon, 26/04/16)
Comment: I don’t know much about this business other than it being similar to MACO, but spin off’s are typically well-received by the retail market
 
BIGC
BIGC has received the disclosure of additional information on the tender offer for the company’s securities from BJC Retail Holding Company Limited, BJC Supercenter Company Limited and Samphunsamer Company Limited, collectively the “Offerors”. (SET, 22/04/16)
CCN
CCN has backlog of Bt100mn on telecommunication projects, expects to book in this year. It expects to get more projects from Thailand post after it got Bt300mn. (Thun Hoon, 26/04/16)
EARTH
EARTH will pay a dividend of Bt0.1/share. It expects 2016 revenue to grow not less than 10% by focusing on acquiring new customers at home and abroad. (Thun Hoon, 26/04/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, aqua, bigc, bjc, ccn, earth, ifec, ihl, maco, mtls, pttgc, qtc, singer, siri, smt, tsr, uv, xo) 26.04.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (ait, apco, as, bjc, ccn, cpf, fer, hpt, kbank, major, ratch, sci, scp, siri, tpbi) 25.03.16

Leave a comment

AIT
AIT sets 2016 revenue target growth at 10% from Bt5.1bn in 2015 supported by its backlog of more than Bt3bn and government projects. It plans to start a data center project within 2Q16. (Kao Hoon, 25/03/16)

APCO
APCO sets 2016 sales target at Bt450 or growth of at least 10% and maintain gross margin at no less than 85%. It will focus on the domestic market. In 1Q16 it had a good response and Direct Service is ready to send Operation BIM to drugstores. It plans to pay a dividend of 100% of net profit. (Thun Hoon, 25/03/16)
Comment: We said back in 2014 that this company was trading at ridiculous valuations and even though the price is off by some 40%, I still think it’s incredibly expensive.

AS
AS sets 2016 revenue target growth at 30%, supported by launch of 24 new games and adding games on mobile to reach 30% of all revenue. It expects 2016 earnings will turn around. (Thun Hoon, 25/03/16)
Comment: I do wonder if they can actually do it…we’ve been waiting for a number of years and perhaps its finally time.

BJC
BJC is leading the pack. After it acquires BIGC it will be the biggest retailer in ASEAN. It targets 2016 revenue growth at 10% supported by sales from abroad. It has budgeted Bt4.5bn to expand capacity both inside and outside Thailand. It is confident that its tender offer will proceed as planned. (Thun Hoon, 25/03/16)
Comment: They own retail in Thailand, they have metro in Vietnam, so I fully expect to see expansions into Laos and Cambodia.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (ait, apco, as, bjc, ccn, cpf, fer, hpt, kbank, major, ratch, sci, scp, siri, tpbi) 25.03.16 →

Commentary, Research, Stocks, Updates

Stocks in the news (aot, big, bigc, bjc, gtb, itd, lpn, major, rojna, sena, solar, super, thana, tbbi, tsr, ttw) 24.03.16

Leave a comment

AOT
AOT expects earnings to be better than in 2015, which had a profit of Bt18.7bn, backed by weak oil price and tourist expansion. The board approved a budget of Bt27bn for Phase 3 of Don Muang airport. It will extend the lower landing fee to two years. (Thun Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: Boom, get ready for more mainland tourists

BIG
BIG expects 1Q16 sales growth of no less than 10% supported by the popularity of mirrorless cameras. It is confident that earnings in 2016 will hit target. It plans to open 10 new branches. (Thun Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: This stock has been a tear, it does seem that the younger consumers are happily buying camera in droves, is this taking demand away from smartphones?

BIGC
BIGC budgeted Bt16bn to build strength and open new branches nationwide. It will change strategy and have seasonal campaigns to boost sales. (Thun Hoon, 24/03/16)

BJC
BJC prepares to tender for 341.99mn shares or 41.45% of BIGC at Bt250.26/share, in total worth Bt86bn. (Kao Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: A deal without any excitement on its last day

 

GTB
On its first day of trade GTB price closed up 57.39% at Bt1.81, above IPO price. Its CEO said that 2016 net profit will surpass last year’s Bt69mn, supported by Its backlog of more than Bt400mn. (Kao Hoon, 24/03/16)

ITD
ITD got two new jobs in total worth Bt294mn. It has backlog of Bt259bn in the first two months. It plans to sign for a new job worth Bt23.9bn. (Kao Hoon, 24/03/16)

LPN
LPN expects transfers in 1Q16 to reach Bt4bn or 100% growth supported by the completion of five projects valued at Bt10.2bn. It has backlog of Bt4-5bn to support demand before the property stimulus ends. (Kao Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: Every property developer should be off to a cracking start this year, the question is only will it be sustainable.

MAJOR
MAJOR expects 1Q16 revenue to grow more than 10% supported by more revenue from foreign movies. It plans to increase the number of screens to 1,000. It expects to increase revenue from foreign movies in neighboring countries to 10%. (Thun Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: Batman vs Superman!

ROJNA
ROJNA targets to sell 400-500 rai of land in this year on the back of planned additional investment by Japanese and Chinese clients. It expects no help from BOI approvals because of the economic slowdown. It expects its 110MW cogeneration power plant to supply electricity from mid-2017. (Khao Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: Perhaps one of the CHEAPEST companies out there but….is it a value trap given how laid back management are?

SENA
SENA targets 2016 revenue of Bt3.5bn. It plans to invest in 100MW solar power plants by 2018. It plans to list SENA Solar Energy soon. (Thun Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: Again something that the market should already know by now, but is it priced in? Do people believe in the management’s capability to expand this heavily into solar?

SOLAR
SOLAR expects to show s net profit in 1Q16 with revenue of Bt400mn. It expects 2016 net profit to return to the black with revenue not less than Bt3bn backed by 400MW solar cells capacity. It expects higher revenue aided by government projects. (Khao Hoon, 24/03/16)

SUPER
SUPER expects to benefit from extension period for supplying electricity. It expects to supply 400MW electricity by April 30. It expects to begin to supply electricity at the end of March. (Khao Hoon, 24/03/16)

THANA
THANA expects backlog of Bt100mn in 1Q16. It is confident 2016 revenue will reach Bt1bn (20% growth). It plans to launch three low-rise projects valued at Bt1.4bn. (Khao Hoon, 24/03/16)

TBBI
TBBI will trade today. It expects a good response from investors because of its strength and productivity technology. It plans to expand integrated packaging at home and abroad. It plans to double revenue within five years. It expects to become a global leader in packaging. (Thun Hoon, 24/03/16)

TSR
TSR plans to open two branches, Buriram and Mukdahan. It plans to move its branches at Phitsanulok and Hatyai. It expects 2016 revenue and net profit to mark a record high this year. (Khao Hoon, 24/03/16)
Comment: I’m starting to see their advertisement’s for their “Safe” brand on buses.

TTW
TTW plans to invest in a 40,000 cubic meter tap water plant in Myanmar in 2H16. It expects domestic tap water demand to grow 5-10%. It expects enough supply to meet demand. (Khao Hoon, 24/03/16)