And here you go…I wouldn’t be surprised to see 50% of all tourists in Thailand come from China within the next 5 years. So who benefits? It is isn’t necessarily just the airport (AOT), airlines (AAV, BA, NOK, THAI) nor the hotels (ERW, MINT, CENTEL, DTC) but names like BEAUTY have said that they’ve benefited from Chinese tourists, so the question is who else will benefit and be next sector/company that will grow?
CI expects revenue to reach Bt6bn in three years. It reported revenue growth of 15% to Bt2.7bn in 2015 supported by backlog of Bt3-4bn. It plans a deal with a China partner to set up a 5-star hotel. It plans to set up a Bt1.5bn REIT for Sripanwa Hotel in 2H16. (Thun Hoon, 1/3/16)
Comment: It’s a fairly straight forward story here for CI, they have the assets on hand to switch into the REIT, they’ve already done one (property fund) for Sri Panwa’s first phase of assets and it’s a basic continuation, doesn’t hurt that they have done a sharebuyback over the past 21-18 months either.
EA sets target revenue growth og 30% from Bt9.2 in 2015 supported by booking profit from a 90MW solar farm in Pitsanulok and COD of a wind power plant around midyear. It reported profit growth of more than 67% or Bt2.7bn in 2015. (Kao Hoon, 1/3/16)
EARTH will pay a dividend of Bt0.10/share, XD on March 14. It reported profit in 2015 of Bt1.03bn. Management target revenue growth of at least 10% supported by coal sales of more than 11mn tons. (Kao Hoon, 1/3/16)
ERW expects earnings in 1Q16 will be good supported by high season and occupancy rate up to 85%. It expects revenue growth of more than 15% in 2016. It has budgeted Bt1.7bn to open seven new hotels in Thailand and the Philippines. (Thun Hoon, 1/3/16)
Comment: We do wonder, in the future will ERW follow the footsteps of all the other major asset owners and decide to shift from being asset based to doing more management contracts
Complete market coverage the key for Erawan
The Erawan Group Plc (ERW) operates more than 5,000 hotel rooms ranging from budget to luxury, and aims to become Thailand’s leading hotel developer and investor. President Kamonwan Wipulakorn discusses the company’s strategy and outlook.
Please explain Erawan’s business model.
Erawan operates in the hotel industry and focuses on quality assets and services. We view our activities from an investment standpoint and aim to be the leader in Thailand. As of the end of 2014 we had 5,289 rooms, the largest among listed companies in Thailand, and aim to reach 5,600 rooms by the end of 2015. Our properties range from budget to luxury in Thailand’s major cities and tourist destinations.
Erawan has a wide-ranging portfolio. How is each asset group performing?
Our portfolio covers various segments starting from luxury hotels such as Hyatt, Marriott, Renaissance and Luxury Collection; to midscale with Courtyard by Marriott, Holiday Inn and Mercure; economy with Ibis, and finally budget with our own Hop Inn brand. This year we expect growth in each segment ranging from 20% to 500%, as a result of the recovery in the tourism market and the additional room inventory.
Kamonwan: Politics, competition top risks
We will continue to expand the midscale, economy and budget segments as we see continued demand growth with limited supply growth. In addition, developing a luxury hotel today is more challenging because of the limited of quality locations. Overall our occupancy rates for Bangkok hotels are 85% and our upcountry hotels are also performing well.
Hop Inn is Erawan’s first branded hotel business. Why did you develop it and what are the plans for it?
We analysed the market for domestic corporate and SME travellers and found that the budget segment lacked a leading hotel network with brand recognition. Thus we are developing a Hop Inn brand that offers high value for its price point and consistent service quality throughout all locations in the country. This year we are opening five hotels and next year we plan 10 more.
ACD expects to show net profit in 3Q15 backed by property management fees of Bt35mn. It plans to buy three hotels in Phuket, expected to be finalized in 4Q15. It plans to acquire more property business in Laos and Cambodia. It is confident 2015 revenue will be higher than Bt1bn and expects to wipe out retained losses within two years. (Thun Hoon, 15/07/15)
ANAN expects 2H15 revenue of Bt10bn backed by revenue recognition. Management says it plans to launch new projects that will contribute revenue for the next three years. (Thun Hoon, 15/07/15)
Comment: I think the journo’s don’t understand what they are writing here, ANAN isn’t going to have THB 10 bn in revenue in its 2H15, perhaps an additional THB 10bn of new backlog to be recognised in the future.
DCC plans to open new outlets in Cambodia and Laos. It expects exports to double this year benefitting from numerous orders from Sri Lanka, the Philippines, and Malaysia. It targets sales of Bt7bn with profit in the double digits. (Thun Hoon, 15/07/15)
Comment: Every thai co in this segment has to expand overseas, the domestic market is dead for them, until agricultural prices increase …
ERW expects tourist sector to continue to trend up in 2H15. It expects 2015 revenue to grow 30-35%. It plans to open 5 HOP INN hotels in 3Q15-4Q15 and 10 in 2016. (Thun Hoon, 15/07/15)
Comment: Always liked this company, but its a asset heavy business and despite their best attempts it isn’t easy to increase value.