Tag Archives: KCE

Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, gel, gfpt, gunkul, irpc, kce, maco, ori, pk, ptg, thai, tkt, tse, utp) 23.09.16

AOT
AOT board approved the plan to develop Hat Yai airport. The development will cover a 2year period with a budget of Bt15.1bn. It expects to support 10mn passengers per year by 2030. (Kao Hoon, 23/09/16)
Comment: It’s quite interesting that nothing is ever really spoken about the development of Southern Thailand. If you look at the numbers, Hat Yai is an important part of Thailand’s economic development.
BEAUTY
BEAUTY is outstanding, with average profit growth of 36% per year in 2016-2017 due to more branches and distribution channels. (Kao Hoon, 23/09/16)
GEL
GEL plans to increase capacity to allow it to handle more jobs, both government and private. It targets increasing the portion of government jobs to 35% from 20% and is confident that 2016 revenue will reach its target of Bt1.8-2bn. It expects 2017 earnings to be good with revenue growth of 15-20%. It plans a JV with a partner to support business. (Thun Hoon, 23/09/16)
GFPT
GFPT is confident that 3Q16 earnings will be good, supported by high season. It plans to increase capacity to handle more exports to Japan. It expects margin to reach 14% from 12% last year due to cost management and expects 2016 revenue growth of 2-3%. (Thun Hoon, 23/09/16)
Comment: Still the best chicken operator in the country. Question now is what will happen to chicken prices over the next 6-12 months?
GUNKUL
GUNKUL targets power plant capacity of 1,000MW in Thailand with 200MW in Japan. It is the first 100% Thai company to be granted loans by large Japanese banks of JPY11.78bn to build a solar power plant with capacity of 38.1MW; COD is expected in 1Q18. (Thun Hoon, 23/09/1 6)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, beauty, gel, gfpt, gunkul, irpc, kce, maco, ori, pk, ptg, thai, tkt, tse, utp) 23.09.16

Stocks in the news (bem, kbank, kce, ksl, lhk, mint, nch, pylon, ratch, sena, sgp, smpc, thana, tpch, wice) 25.08.16

BEM
BEM will negotiate with the BMTA for the Blue Line extension job in September. It accepts that passengers on the Purple Line are not meeting its target and pulling down revenue by Bt0.8mn per month. The BMTA has approved a reduction in average passenger fare of 30% to Bt14-29 and expects this to boost passenger load by 30% from 20K. (Kao Hoon, 25/08/16)
KBANK
KBANK expects leading to rise on recovery of automotive market. It expects new loans of more than Bt75bn or growth of 35% to bring total loans to Bt93bn. It expects profit to be a new high at above target of Bt682mn. (Thun Hoon, 25/08/16)
KCE
A Japanese fund is interested in investing in KCE and expects to make a decision soon. It will spend Bt200mn to renovate its factory at Ayutthaya, with operations starting back up in 4Q16. It targets 2016 revenue growth of 10% from 2015, supported by more orders. (Thun Hoon, 25/08/16)
KSL
KSL targets 2016 revenue growth of 20% thanks to an increase in sugar price (2016-2017) of 30% to US$0.21/pound from US$0.15/pound last year. It plans to expand its sugar mill and is bidding for a PPA biomass power plant. (Thun Hoon, 25/08/16)
Comment: Just as with the comment for KTIS, could it be time for the sugar co’s to perform?

Continue reading Stocks in the news (bem, kbank, kce, ksl, lhk, mint, nch, pylon, ratch, sena, sgp, smpc, thana, tpch, wice) 25.08.16

Stocks in the news (age, aot, ba, bem, cpf, ea, gunkul, intuch, itel, jubile, kce, lph, ndr, ptt, sena, skr, thai, tpbi, tu, wiik) 15.08.16

AGE
AGE expects 2H16 to be good. It plans to do a marketing campaign in ASEAN. It is confident that 2016 sales will reach the target of 2.2mn tons. It reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt29mn, up 4% YoY and total revenue over Bt1bn. (Thun Hoon, 15/08/16)
AOT
AOT reported 3QFY16 profit of Bt5.06bn, growing 24% supported by a 20.62% growth in lowcost airline passengers and total passenger growth of 11.08%. It passed more than 90mn passengers through its gates in the nine months and profit was Bt15bn. (Kao Hoon, 15/08/16)
Comment: The bombing over the weekend isn’t going to help matters in the ST, but unless there are continued incidents in Thailand I doubt that there’ll be a permanent impact over the med-long term
 
BA
BA expects 2H16 to be better than 1H16 due to high season. It plans to open two new routes to increase Chinese passengers. It has budgeted Bt1bn to expand Samui Airport to support 6mn passengers per year. It reported 1H16 earnings of Bt1.46bn or growth of 12.5%. (Thun Hoon, 15/0 8/16)
BEM
BEM reported 1H16 earnings growth of 12.3% to over Bt1.2bn and expects 2H16 to continue to grow. It will bid for a new job and plans to list its subsidiary soon. (Thun Hoon, 15/08/16)
CPF
CPF reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt4.02bn or growth of 35%, with 1H16 net profit of Bt7.78bn supported by more sales, both domestic and export. It will pay an interim dividend of Bt0.50/share, XD on Aug 23. (Kao Hoon, 15/08/16)
EA
EA reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt992mn or growth of 33%, due to booking revenue from its solar farm in Phitsanulok. It will COD 126MW a wind power plant at the end of this year. (Kao Hoon, 15/08/16)
GUNKUL
GUNKUL reported 1H16 net profit of Bt315.94mn, up 42.62% from Bt221.53mn in 1H15. It expects demand to increase and will continue to expand business to support earnings growth. (Thun Hoon, 15/08/16)
Comment: Similar to most renewable players, GUNKUL’s growth is relatively straightfwd to forecast for the next few years. The jumps in revenues will come from new projects

Continue reading Stocks in the news (age, aot, ba, bem, cpf, ea, gunkul, intuch, itel, jubile, kce, lph, ndr, ptt, sena, skr, thai, tpbi, tu, wiik) 15.08.16

Stocks in the news (ask, bla, demco, egco, gfpt, gold, gunkul, kce, nep, ptsc, ratch, sawad, siri, spa, susco, tu, thcom, wha) 10.08.16

ASK
ASK expects revenue and loan growth of not less than 15% on seasonality. It plans to issue a debenture to replace the old one of Bt7.3bn that is expiring. (Thun Hoon, 10/08/16)
Comment: It’s more likely that the continued improvement will come from decreased financing costs
 
BLA
BLA reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt9.3bn thanks to reversal of provisions. It will pay a dividend of Bt0.32/share, XD on Aug 25. (Khao Hoon, 10/08/16)
Comment: Despite the short term respite it’s still going to be tough for insurance co’s to make $ on their investment portfolio’s given these low yields
 
DEMCO
DEMCO says its 60MW wind power at Khao Kor commenced operations. It expects this to contribute Bt40mn income in 2017. It expects 2016 revenue to grow 10-15%. Its backlog is Bt7bn, of which it expects to book Bt6bn this year. It plans to take part in Bt10bn in bids. (Thun Hoon, 10/08/16)
Comment: The issue surrounding Demco is still because of the loss of production payments 
 
EGCO
EGCO reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt2.04bn (+46%). This brought 1H16 net profit to Bt4.63bn (+58%). ( Khao Hoon, 10/08/16)
GFPT
GFPT reported 2Q16 net profit of BT380.79mn (+90%) backed by lower feed costs and growth in GFN and McKey. It expects 2H16 earnings to be good on seasonality. It expects exports to reach 6,500ton/quarter. It expects 2016 gross profit to grow 14%. (Thun Hoon, 10/08/16)
Comment: Every chicken/pork company has had a wonderful 2Q and it looks like chicken prices are continuing to increase into the 2H16
 
GOLD
GOLD reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt359.38mn, which brought 1H16 net profit to Bt560.77mn driven by large transfers from property stimulus measures. It expects 2016 revenue to reach its target of Bt10bn. (Khao Hoon, 10/08/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (ask, bla, demco, egco, gfpt, gold, gunkul, kce, nep, ptsc, ratch, sawad, siri, spa, susco, tu, thcom, wha) 10.08.16

Stocks in the news (aot, bcp, cpall, delta, ea, eason, hmpro, kce, mtls, pace, ptt, pttgc, scc, tpc, trt, tsr, vgi, wha) 27.07.16

AOT
AOT expects 3Q16 earnings growth of 16.3% YoY supported by tourism recovery and low oil price. It expects to benefit from competition between low-cost airlines. (Thun Hoon, 27/07/16)
BCP
BCP expects 2016 EBITDA from retail business grow to Bt3bn supported by low oil price. It has budgeted Bt15bn to expand and renovate its petrol stations. It has set a five-year target of 400 stations. It expects non-oil business to grow and plans to open a new supermarket under franchise from Europe by end-2016. (Thun Hoon, 27/07/16)
Comment: I do wonder if the outstanding growth from PTG has been behind the major players finally deciding to expand their stations throughout Thailand
 
CPALL
CPALL expects 3Q16 to be outstanding supported by 7-Eleven stamps that stimulated sales and expects 4Q16 earnings to be good supported by high season. (Thun Hoon, 27/07/16)
DELTA
DELTA reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt1.32bn, down 22%YoY due to lower sales. It has budgeted to invest in India. (Khao Hoon, 27/07/16)
EA
EA expects 2Q16 to be peak due to high season and expects revenue of Bt1bn. It believes that 2016 profit will be higher than last year. It expects 2016 capacity to reach 404MW and PPA 664MW. (Thun Hoon, 27/07/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (aot, bcp, cpall, delta, ea, eason, hmpro, kce, mtls, pace, ptt, pttgc, scc, tpc, trt, tsr, vgi, wha) 27.07.16

Stocks in the news (gift, gl, gunkul, ilink, kce, ksl, malee, preb, pylon, sappe, sc, scc, tsr, tvt, uec) 13.07.16

GIFT
GIFT is talking to a prospective partner to set up a subsidiary to operate in the power business with a 25% stake. It plans to expand to the utilities business with cash on hand of Bt230mn. It expects to list on the SET, with finalization in a month. It expects 2016 revenue to mark a record high with 10-15% growth. (Thun Hoon, 13/07/16)
Comment: This could explain yesterday’s stock price increase, no idea how a chemical distributor gets into this.
GL
GL got the license from OJK (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan) to provide financial services in Indonesia. It expects this to boost its sales and net profit. (Khao Hoon, 13/07/16)
Comment: We doubt that they’ll be as successful in Indonesia as they were in Cambodia, but this is still great nonetheless
 
GUNKUL
GUNKUL expects 2016 revenue to grow 30% from 2015’s Bt4.87bn. It does not worry about 2Q16 performance as it expects LED business to contribute revenue. It expects revenue to reach Bt300-400mn this year. It expects to take part in many alternative energy projects. (Thun Hoon, 13/07/16)
ILINK
ILINK expects to take part in four project bids, valued at Bt7bn. It expects the bid winners to be announced this year. It expects a Bt2.5bn MEA project to put up for bid on July 21. It expects to get all four projects. (Khao Hoon, 13/07/16)
Comment: And they still have the IPO of their subsidiary coming up

Continue reading Stocks in the news (gift, gl, gunkul, ilink, kce, ksl, malee, preb, pylon, sappe, sc, scc, tsr, tvt, uec) 13.07.16

Stocks in the news (abc, age, aot, banpu, bbl, ck, gift, kbank, kce, pap, ptg, sena, sgp, super, vng, thana, tpbi, tvo) 24.06.16

ABC
ABC targets 2016 revenue of Bt2bn. It plans to wipe out retained losses by launching Above Sukhumvit 39 in 3Q16. It plans to launch ABC Pet World in 4Q16 if its board approves on June 29. (Thun Hoon, 24/06/16)
Comment: Anybody else understand the business model of this company?
 
AGE
AGE expects to take part in 36MW PPA and expects to be a winner. Its cash on hand is Bt600mn which it believes will be enough for investment. It expects 2Q16 earnings to be good thanks to cost control. It expects 2016 revenue and net profit to grow, boosted by Bt300mn from its services business. It expects exports to comprise 50%. (Khao Hoon, 24/06/16)
Comment: It’s likely to be a JV should they win a 36 MW PPA 
 
AOT
AOT reports passengers of 81mn in the first 8 months of its fiscal year (ending Sep), up 12.43%. Flights rose 10% to 519,140. (Khao Hoon, 24/06/16)
BANPU
BANPU expects to benefit from higher coal imports in China, which rose 62.2% in May 2016 compared to May 2015. (Thun Hoon, 24/06/16)
Comment: Could this be Thai Airways part 2 in terms of stock price movement?
 
BBL
BBL targets 2016 loan growth of 3-4%. It expects 2Q16 earnings to move with the economy and government stimulus measures. (Khao Hoon, 24/06/16) BIG BIG says it has risen to a 55% market share driven by expansion. It expects the industry to recover. It expects net profit to grow 71% this year and 12% next year. (Thun Hoon, 24/06/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (abc, age, aot, banpu, bbl, ck, gift, kbank, kce, pap, ptg, sena, sgp, super, vng, thana, tpbi, tvo) 24.06.16

Stocks in the news (apco, beauty, dna, global, glow, ifec, ivl, kce, ptt, sappe, thcom, tkn, true, xo) 12.05.16

APCO
APCO reported profit growth 12.16% in 1Q16 supported by increased sales. It plans to expand its business nationwide. It targets revenue growth of no less than 10% in 2016. (Thun Hoon, 12/5/16)
Comment: They have yet to be able to reach the heights that everyone was expecting 2 years ago
 
BEAUTY
BEAUTY reported 1Q16 net profit of Bt129mn, growth of 70%, supported by more revenue from adding branches, supporting customer demand in Thailand and abroad. (Kao Hoon, 12/5/16)
Comment: And the growth just continues and continues and continues
DNA
DNA board approved a budget of Bt4.39mn for its subsidiary “My Network” to acquire 51% of AEK stock. It plans to do an ICT business in Laos. It targets to have AEK be in the top three brands within two years. (Kao Hoon, 12/5/16)
Comment: This company seems to have the funniest dealings…
 
GLOBAL
GLOBAL reported net profit of Bt451mn or growth of 108% due to increasing sales and higher gross profit. It is confident that 2016 revenue will grow no less than 10%. It plans to open 12 new branches, three in June. It plans to invest in Myanmar and Cambodia. (Kao Hoon, 12/5/16)
Comment: Rather surprising turnaround and growth in their 1Q. Is upcountry back?

Continue reading Stocks in the news (apco, beauty, dna, global, glow, ifec, ivl, kce, ptt, sappe, thcom, tkn, true, xo) 12.05.16

Stocks in the news (global, kce, ktc, major, mint, nok, plat, ptt, smg, sprc, ssi, tsth) 17.02.16

GLOBAL
GLOBAL’s 2015 net profits grow 20% from last year’s Bt701mn, driven by numerous orders. It targets 2016 revenue to grow 10%. A plan to invest in Myanmar will be finalized within 1H16 (Thun Hoon, 17/2/16)
Comment: And yet they still have one of the worst inventory turnover’s I’ve seen…

KCE
KCE’s 2015 net profit was Bt2.24bn (+6.2% YoY) with sales growth of 10.3% to Bt12bn. 4Q15 net profit was Bt630mn, hitting a new high. (Khao Hoon, 17/2/16)
Comment: No surprise if you’ve been following this company for the past few years..

KTC
KTC expects to see 2016 financial performance to be in line with 2015. NPL is expected to reduce to 2.1%. It plans to do business aggressively to boost market shares. (Khao Hoon, 17/2/16)
Comment: We’ve said this since last year, the issue for KTC now is no longer operational, its sales, growing revenue and I doubt that they’ll be able to do more than 2x the industry growth rate unless they shift into other products.

MAJOR
MAJOR looks more to non-film revenue – MAJOR will renovate some of its cinemas nationwide in a bid to achieve almost 12% revenue growth from group bookings and events. It expects 11.8% growth in group bookings to Bt190mn this year. It believes this business has great potential despite contributing only a small proportion of total ticket sales. (Bangkok Post, 17/02/16)
Comment: I’ve always liked this company, perhaps for the first time in a while it may be time to relook at it if they can monetise their assets better..

Continue reading Stocks in the news (global, kce, ktc, major, mint, nok, plat, ptt, smg, sprc, ssi, tsth) 17.02.16

Management Trades 01/01 – 08/01

Notable Transactions

Buy(s) THB 552MN

  • BA – And he continues to buy, in this environment perhaps it is the safest option.
  • TU – Looks like the owner doesn’t care about the botched M&A deal

Sell(s) THB 608 MN

  • KCE – I think this is a switch of shares between father and son
  • DIMET – Quite a big transaction with several shareholders selling out – now we wonder who the buyer is
  • ARROW – Perhaps one of the few times management is selling…is the story finally over for ARROW?
  • EA – A director most likely just taking his profits and running

MGMT