ADVANC asking for injunction from the Central Administrative Court to allow its customers to continue using 900MHz if JAS does not make its license fee payment. Its 2G-900 service will cut off at midnight tonight, the NBTC said. (Khao Hoon, 15/03/16)
Comment: And the drama continues….we are all rather curious as to how 1q looks for these telco’s
BKD’s capital increase shares of 146mn will trade today. Institutional investors are interested in its shares because of its strong financial position with Bt1bn cash on hand. It plans to take part in Bt3bn in bids, with bid winners expected to be announced in mid-2016. It expects this to bump up 2016 revenue growth by 20%. (Khao Hoon, 15/03/16)
GOLD plans to expand its business to condominiums. It expects 1H16 sales to reach Bt7bn (30% growth) compared to 1H15’s Bt5.4bn, thanks to high demand generated by tax incentives. It is confident 2016 revenue will hit Bt10bn as targeted. (Thun Hoon, 15/03/16)
Comment: I do wonder if this competes against UV’s condo business via Grand Unity
IEC’s board has approved increasing capital by 73,639mn shares, to be offered as a PP of 32,960 mn shares with 40,679mn shares for the exercise of its warrants. Its board also approved investing in new plants. (Khao Hoon, 15/03/16)
Comment: So which new shareholder is going to punt IEC?
KTB expects 2016 revenue to grow 15-20% as targeted by focusing on money market and capital market clients. It will be an underwriter for Bt30bn in debentures in 1H16. It expects 2016 debentures will reach Bt80bn. (Khao Hoon, 15/03/16)
Comment: That is quite the aggressive target for a bank, unless they feel that they can really grow their non-interest income business – perhaps from the government projects, then I don’t see this possibly happening..
And here you go…I wouldn’t be surprised to see 50% of all tourists in Thailand come from China within the next 5 years. So who benefits? It is isn’t necessarily just the airport (AOT), airlines (AAV, BA, NOK, THAI) nor the hotels (ERW, MINT, CENTEL, DTC) but names like BEAUTY have said that they’ve benefited from Chinese tourists, so the question is who else will benefit and be next sector/company that will grow?
Foreign banks help BJC fund US$6.2bn Big C buy – Berli Jucker Plc (BJC) has tapped foreign banks including BNP Paribas as well as domestic lenders to raise US$6.2 billion for its acquisition of Big C Supercenter Plc, putting it on track to successfully meet a March 31 financing deadline. (Bangkok Post, 4/3/16)
Comment: One hopes for BJC that the support is certain otherwise they’ll be out of pocket to the tune of USD 600 mn
GUNKUL approved a par split from Bt1 to Bt0.25 to increase liquidity. It ready to issue a debenture of not over Bt3bn, age not over 7 years to support further expansion. It will offer the debenture to shareholders on April 26. (Thun Hoon, 07/03/16)
Comment: Well if you want to do a stock split now before the SEC implements the 0.50 minimum ruling.
IRCP set up a JV, “Singhacom intergroup”, with Singhacom enterprise to act as a service provider and improve 4G network. It expects to book revenue in 2016 of Bt100mn. (Kao Hoon, 07/03/16
JWD expects to finish M&A deal in ASEAN worth more than Bt3.5bn. It is interested in logistics business. It targets revenue growth of no less than 10%. (Kao Hoon, 07/03/16)
Let’s start with Nok Airways, it appears that ever since its ludicrously expensive IPO no one has been a believer in Nok Airways, perhaps its the way that they put a silly cartoon image on the front of their planes . Or perhaps its the fact that this company entered into an industry that is not only incredibly competitive but well known for having one of the worst return on investments and that unless you have the balance sheet, management capability, and ability to source traffic and network. And that even with all you are still effectively screwed. Now there are several issues at play with the company all of which are fairly public, their financial performance is crap (loss since 2014, negative FCF, ), pilots are now leaving in droves b/c of safety standards and one would expect for bookings to decline tremendously. Will someone buy them? What’s the point? Perhaps if it was offered for 1 cent and a 95% haircut on the debt then you may see Tony Fernandes swoop in as he did with AirAsia but there is no real tangible value here and if I was AirAsia, Bangkok Airways, (not Thai Airways b/c they own 40% of the company, here comes another write off!) I would be toasting the loss of a competitor.
Thai Airways & AirAsia
Thai Airways stock price has been on a huge run in the past week thanks to some clever reporting that Somkid raised the idea that Thai Airways should work with AirAsia through a share purchase (Bangkok Post). AS IF THIS WAS EVER POSSIBLE! But the market believed it, until the news came out that this was not not on the cards (Bangkok Post) and I had multiple messages about why weren’t we purchasing Thai Airways…I will whenever they recap until then I’d rather believe that pigs can fly.
It’s been in the news since December ’15 that Bank of Nova Scotia has been planning to sell their 49% stake in TCAP.
Latest events suggest that there are two buyers lined up, basically Japan and China (Bangkok Post). Traditionally we normally heard rumours that Malaysian Banks were interested in expanding here and they were typically the parties willing to pay high multiples of BV. But with TCAP’s relatively smaller customer base, loan book etc etc and to compound this the fact that the world isn’t doing well either, it isn’t quite the attractive proposition as other entities in the past. In any case if you believe in the foolishness of buyers don’t be surprised to see a deal happen @ 2x P/BV.
Well the draft charter has been in the news, Yingluck has invited reporters to visit her garden and Thaksin has allowed himself to be interviewed in Singapore. (I do wonder how long it will be before BEC makes a drama similar to this) And in the past week’s Economist there was a piece on Thailand (Economist) I’ll let you read the article in its entirety but it did end the following “…that Thailand’s self-chosen leaders have no real strategy at all. “ Which is rubbish they do, protect the status quo, protect their positions, ensure no one can have full control of parliament and other things which I can’t mention unless I want to be invited for attitude adjustment.
One of the easiest ways in this country to make one’s stock price go up is to decrease its par value/a stock split/par split. Why? Basic finance principles imply that this should have no impact upon the valuation of a business, in reality animal spirits are different….So the SET has come out with a new criteria stating that there would be a floor limit for par value set at 50 satang (Bangkok Post). So one should applaud them for the best efforts to limit the number of unscrupulous companies and owners that are just looking for the ability to manipulate their share prices. Of course there is an easy way around this…do a reverse par, wait a few years and then split it again and again….
ANAN targets 2016 revenue to reach Bt11bn backed by Bt37.2bn backlog. It plans to launch 12 projects, valued at Bt22bn. (Thun Hoon, 26/02/16)
Comment: Seems to be rather conservative estimates coming out from the management team given their backlog, lets see how things unfold during the year
BANPU expects net profit to return to the black this year aided by US$70mn extra gain on Hongsa power plant and its coal capacity of 46.1mt/year. It plans to acquire a coal mine in Indonesia. It plans to issue a Bt10bn debenture. (Khao Hoon, 26/02/16)
Comment: Well and there’s a supposed listing of BANPU power..
BCP is budgeting Bt20bn for add 60 gas stations. It plans to list a subsidiary in 4Q16. (Thun Hoon, 26/02/16)
BJCHI reported its highest net profit at Bt1.32bn in 2015 supported by continuous construction of FPSO’s P75&77 projects. It targets 2016 revenue to grow not less than 15% thanks to Bt3.7bn backlog. It expects to be awarded new projects in April. (Thun Hoon, 26/02/16)
Comment: Impressive results given the huge drop in oil prices
AIT is talking to A prospective partner to provide data center service. It expects this to need Bt400mn capital investment. It plans to ask board approval in April. It plans to take part in Bt10bn public bids, of which it expects to get 40-50%. (Khao Hoon, 25/02/16)
Comment: They’ve come out saying a few times that they want to diversify away from being a project based company, and if the government is really adamant on these data centers then it just sounds like another great cash flow for those that are able to win these contracts
ECF reported 2015 net profit of Bt75mn. It will pay a dividend of Bt0.05/share, XD on April 19. It targets 2016 revenue of Bt1.5bn. (Khao Hoon, 25/02/16)
FPI targets 2016 revenue growth of 10% as the auto sector bottoms out. Its backlog is Bt600mn. It expects Bt300mn to be booked this year. It is talking to a partner to expand to India. (Khao Hoon, 25/02/16)
Comment: Haven’t they said that the deal in India was already completed?
GFPT targets 2016 revenue to reach Bt16-18bn thanks to broiler price recovery and lower cost. (Thun Hoon, 25/02/16)
Comment: Well they have benefited from lower raw mat costs, the only question here is will the domestic price of chicken increase?
GLOW’s board approved investing in Vietnam and Malaysia. Its 2015 net profit is Bt8.35bn. It will pay a dividend of Bt4.36/share, XD on April 29, PD on May 26. (Khao Hoon, 25/02/16)
Comment: Don’t be surprised to see GLOW continually offering special dividends every year