Tag Archives: oishi

Stocks in the news (akp, bch, bcp, biz, ivl, jas, lit, mill, oishi, ori, prin, pttgc, qlt, sawad, spali, tasco, tfg, tkn, tpch) 11.08.16

AKP reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt18.08mn, up 61.6% YoY. It expects 2H16 performance to achieve its target. (Thun Hoon, 11/08/16)
BCH expects 2H16 earnings to be good supported by a faster breakeven at WMC than expected. It plans to increase Social Security clients to 800,000. It expects 2016 revenue to grow no less than 10%. (Thun Hoon, 11/08/16)
Comment: Well WMC has been waiting to breakeven for a long time…
Bangchak seeks 4th revenue engine – BANGCHAK PETROLEUM is seeking a new business to perform as the “fourth engine” of the company, after the spin-off of its green-power business. (The Nation, 11/08/16)
Comment: And the spin is expected to happen within the next 6 months
BIZ reported 2Q16 net profit of Bt8.1mn and total revenue of Bt106.59mn, a surge of 502.51% YoY due to realizing more revenue. (Thun Hoon, 11/08/16)
IVL reported 1H16 net profit of Bt10.84bn, increasing 95% YoY, and 2Q16 profit of Bt5.95bn supported by PET business recovery and booking extra gain of Bt2.49bn from an acquired business. (Kao Hoon, 11/08/16)
Comment: So they were able to boost their 1H16 #’s due to “extra gain” bookings from acquisitions, what magical things await in 2H16?

Continue reading Stocks in the news (akp, bch, bcp, biz, ivl, jas, lit, mill, oishi, ori, prin, pttgc, qlt, sawad, spali, tasco, tfg, tkn, tpch) 11.08.16

Stocks in the news (acap, akr, bkd, chg, gold, ivl, lit, lph, oishi, ppp, siri, spa, tfg, tipco, uac) 25.07.16

ACAP plans to expand to Cambodia and Myanmar via subsidiary “Capital OK” and expects to conclude the deals this year. It targets loans to reach Bt3bn after reported 1H16 loans of Bt2.1bn. It plans to issue a new debenture worth Bt600mn in 4Q16. It expects to list a subsidiary on the SET. (Thun Hoon, 25/07/16)
Comment: It isn’t unimagineable to see Thai financial co’s to gain strong market share in Laos and Cambodia, Myanmar however, could be a tougher nut to crack
AKR expects 2016 revenue growth of 25% supported by outstanding 2H16 earnings. It expects 2016 earnings to be expanded by government projects such as mass transit lines, SEZ and property that will support demand. (Thun Hoon, 25/07/16)
BKD expects 2H16 to be good. It plans to bid for 2-3 new jobs worth Bt3bn, of which it expects to get Bt1.5bn. It has backlog of more than Bt1.7bn and expects to book this in 3Q16. (Khao Hoon, 25/07/16)
CHG spent Bt600mn to invest in Ruamphat Chacherngsao Hospital. Construction will begin this September and it will open in 2018. (Khao Hoon, 25/07/16)
GOLD expects to report good earnings in 2Q16 in mid-August. Its presales hit Bt8.5bn for the first half of the year with Bt3bn backlog. (Khao Hoon, 25/07/16)
Comment: The story for this company is rather well covered, residential property sales with some offices and a REIT.
IVL expects 2Q16 net profit to reach Bt2.5bn driven by higher sales and higher spread between PTA and PET. (Thun Hoon, 25/07/16)
Comment: And another revaluation of an acquisition ?
LIT expects 2H16 earnings to be good from seasonality in 3Q16. It expects revenue, net profit, and loan portfolio to grow not less than 30%. It expects 2016 performance to mark a record high. (Thun Hoon, 25/07/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (acap, akr, bkd, chg, gold, ivl, lit, lph, oishi, ppp, siri, spa, tfg, tipco, uac) 25.07.16

Stocks in the news (centel, grand, hmpro, ktb, maco, oishi, pace, pylon, tluxe, tmi, uniq) 07.07.16

CENTEL plans to take over Thai Foods brand. It targets 2016 revenue to grow at 10%, driven by healthy tourism. (Thun Hoon, 7/7/16)
GRAND plans to take over a prestigious hotel in Thailand. It expects to see healthy 2Q16 earnings, driven by booking from Hyde Sukhumvit 11 and hotel businesses. (Thun Hoon, 7/7/16)
Comment: Still have our doubts on their ability to execute…
HMPRO expects to see outstanding 2Q16 earnings from Mega Home. It targets 2016 revenue to grow 10-15% from expanding portfolios and a slight change in business model. (Thun Hoon, 7/7/16)
KTB targets 2016 loans to grow 3-4% from SME and governmental lending. It expects 2Q16 NPL to deceleratedly increase. (Thun Hoon, 7/7/16)
MACO plans to be number one in the country in 2-3 years with market share more than 40%. It is expanding the business, negotiating for M&A. Its 2Q16 performance is expected to be healthy from advertising signs covering 77 provinces. (Thun Hoon, 7/7/16)
Comment: I’m fairly certain that they are already the largest in what is a very fragmented industry

Continue reading Stocks in the news (centel, grand, hmpro, ktb, maco, oishi, pace, pylon, tluxe, tmi, uniq) 07.07.16

Stocks in the news (akr, chg, dcon, ndr, oishi, siri, tpoly, true, tu, tvt) 06.07.16

AKR is bidding for government transformer jobs worth Bt3bn and expects to get 10-15%. It expects to get solar job from EPC worth more than Bt400mn. This will support 2016 revenue to reach Bt2.5bn. It plans to expand to Indonesia and Vietnam. (Thun Hoon, 06/07/16)
CHG expects 2H16 earnings to double supported by high season in 3Q16. It is confident that occupancy rate will be 70-80%. (Thun Hoon, 06/07/16)
DCON expects good earnings in 1H16 supported by more orders. It is confident that 2016 revenue will hit target of Bt1.1bn supported by construction recovery and more demand. (Thun Hoon, 06/07/16)
Comment: Is there a round 2 coming for DCON? I haven’t looked at the name properly since ’13 but if my memory is correct unless they are doing another property project there won’t be another jump in earnings.
NDR got orders from India worth Bt170mn. It expects 2H16 earnings to continue to grow and expects revenue to reach Bt1bn. (Thun Hoon, 06/07/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (akr, chg, dcon, ndr, oishi, siri, tpoly, true, tu, tvt) 06.07.16

Random Thoughts – Governments, infrastructure, central going wild, sweet sugar and more…

Which country’s government set up is this?
440 members, 330 elected 110 appointed by the Military. If you thought of Thailand I wouldn’t blame you, that is Myanmar’s current structure, raises quite a few questions doesn’t it?
Thailand infrastructure projects 
These ones are postponed – Mr Peerapol said the three projects are the Pink Line electric train from Khae Rai to Min Buri, worth 56.6 billion baht; the Yellow Line electric train from Lat Phrao to Samrong, worth 54.6 billion baht; and the joint Thai-Japanese double-track Kanchanaburi-Bangkok-Chachoengsao-Aranyaprathet and Bangkok-Chiang Mai rail routes.
And these ones are going ahead – First of the four lines is the 132km Map Kabao-Jira route, which will cost Bt29.67 billion. The project, being considered by the National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB), should be added to the Cabinet agenda in the second week of May. The targeted completion date is 2020.The second project, the 165km Nakhon Pathom-Hua Hin route costing Bt20.15 billion, should be ready by 2019, while the third is the 90km Hua Hin-Muang Prachuap Khiri Khan line worth Bt10.30 billion.
So what? It does prove that the government is hell bent on approving all of the dual track projects asap and effectively everything else takes a back seat.
Negative interest rates are the dumbest idea ever 
I’ve been following Jeff Gundlach for years and whatever he says you most likely should take it as a given. Here are some great quotes and the link to the rest of the interview
So you have to find a center piece idea that will be important in driving the market. And you have to have an intuition about how other investors will react if you’re right and they wake up to that idea.
Negative interest rates are designed to fight deflation. But they are the very definition of deflation: Your money is disappearing. As an investor, you are going to have less money in the future than you have today with negative interest rates.
Recessions don’t drive financial markets. It’s the other way around.
The markets have humiliated the Fed into abandoning their pretty idiotic forecast.
CPALL and BEC back in the news

CPALL and BEC have been in the news again, this time with Thaipat Institute who “has removed CP All Plc and BEC World Plc from its top 100 listed companies ranked by environmental, social and governance measures, citing the pair’s tainted corporate reputation. ” Normally I would have posted this immediately, but I’ve never heard of thaipat until this news And I doubt many other people had either. But he did have a rather priceless quote “Companies that have good practices but bad performance, and good performance but bad practices are worthless,” Mr Pipat said. If only the world was really that black and white.

Sweet Sugar
Getting our sugar fix will become pricier with a proposed sugar tax – Soft drinks will likely be 20-25% more expensive if the cabinet approves the sugar tax rates proposed by reform councilors.
Two rates of the excise tax were proposed based on different sugar levels. Drinks with more than 6g to 10g per 100ml of sugar would be subject to a rate that would raise their retail prices by at least 20%. Those with more than 10g of sugar would see their prices at least 25% higher.
So we did an extensive market survey at the office (a total of 5 people of which 2 drink sugar drinks) and when you do the numbers..well an ichitan branded drink will go from 12 baht to 16 baht..not quite the end of the world, so will demand disappear and will people stop buying these “sugary” products, nope. If a government was really concerned about the nation’s health, easy ban cigarettes. To the markets, both ICHI and OISHI took a slight hit – interesting factoid, ICHI is now below its IPO price.
Central going wild
Central Group has been on the prowl! First with Zalora and now BIG C Vietnam.
“AT CENTRAL GROUP, online shopping contributed only 0.5 per cent of total sales last year. In a country where mobile-phone penetration is more than 100 per cent, with smartphones accounting for 70 per cent of phones in use, it is more than obvious that the retail giant must step up its e-commerce to be ahead of rival retailers and small tech companies.”
So for the Zalora purchase, things are still being finanlised using their listed co, Central Online (COL). Now at first I thought that typically central group doesn’t pay crazy prices for anything, I hope they maintain it here. All of these ecommerce sites in Thailand, despite the amount of news and marketing are losing tonnes of money!! Where’s the value in a business that is constantly losing cash every year? Oh the subscribers? The network? You could argue it both ways, but in the end isn’t a business that doesn’t make $ rather pointless?
And then Central Group went ahead and beat TCC to buying BIGC Vietnam…so much for not paying crazy prices.
He said Big C Vietnam had 43 stores nationwide, comprising 33 hypermarkets and 10 convenience stores, and 30 shopping malls. “Total revenue in 2015 was approximately 586 million euros.”
“Casino yesterday on its official website announced the closing of the sale of Big C Vietnam to Central Group, for an enterprise value of 1 billion euros, implying 2015 multiples of 1.8 times net sales, 20.4 times EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) and 34.4 times EBIT.”
MAI call for more auditors
This has been a recurring issue since the SEC cut the auditor list by half 1.5 years ago. And they wonder why the growth in the capital markets are slow. Then again they are just a regulator….though I don’t think that Prapan knows what’s he talking, stock analysts almost never cover MAI listings nor any company that is typically below THB 30 bn in market cap. Why? It’s the business model, small companies – less liquidity – less commissions, but of course if there is a great story or a strong relationship then every once in a while you’ll see a smaller name covered.
“The shortage of auditors and financial advisers has led to slow growth in new listed companies, says Prapan Charoenprawat, president of Market for Alternative Investment (MAI). Mr Prapan said the market had seen growing demand for companies to list on the bourse because listed firms have successfully raised funds through their issuance of initial public offerings (IPOs) and other financial tools. The market, however, can only accommodate a fraction of them due to limited resources. “It’s not just a lack of financial advisers and auditors, we’ve also fallen short of stock analysts who can cover MAI listings, resulting in a lack of investor confidence,” he said.”

Stocks in the news (advanc, auct, bjchi css, itd, ksl, lh, oishi, qtc, scc, super, tasco, thai, tnp, vgi) 18.04.16

AIS board ‘to decide on new license bid’. ADVANCED Info Service has yet to confirm if it will participate in the new round of bidding for a 900MHz licence. Chief executive officer Somchai Lertsutiwong said yesterday the company board would make a final decision on the matter. The junta also ordered the NBTC to extend further the period AIS has to shut down its second generation cellular service it operates on 900MHz till June 30 or the date the NBTC will award the 900MHz licence to the winning bidder – whichever comes first.The previous deadline was April 14. Somchai said AIS would not ask for any further extension. (The Nation, 13/04/16)
Comment: There are still many questions regarding this…if they rejected it before why purchase at this price? If they’ve already spent a substantial amount of capex, wouldn’t this hurt their balance sheet? Is the price definitely going to start @ thb 75 bn? 
AUCT expects margin to be higher than 50% thanks to the 4G auction. (Thun Hoon, 18/04/16)
BJCHI expects 1Q16 net profit of Bt490mn brought by TUPI project. It says it has high potential projects of Bt6.5bn. It expects to get the Bt2.8bn TUPI FPSO#3 in April. It targets 2016 revenue to grow 15%. (ASTV, 18/04/16)
Comment: And they still continue to grow despite all the volatility in oil prices
CSS’s backlog is Bt1.3bn backed by telecommunication projects. It plans to take part in bids and expects 2016 revenue to reach Bt5.3bn (15-20% growth). It will pay a dividend of Bt0.1/share, XD on April 19. (Khao Hoon, 18/04/16)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (advanc, auct, bjchi css, itd, ksl, lh, oishi, qtc, scc, super, tasco, thai, tnp, vgi) 18.04.16

Stocks in the news (advanc, akr, dcorp, gold, ifec, jas, ldc, oishi, sc, smt, spali, spcg, sprc, tsr) 08.03.16

ADVANC has budgeted Bt7bn to expand to fixed broadband and plans to be a big player within 3-5 years. It expects 2016 revenue to be close to 2015’s Bt156bn with EBITDA growth of 37- 38%. It guarantees a dividend of 100% of net profit. (Thun Hoon, 08/03/16)
Comment: 1) I think the news meant EBITDA margin 2) This is lower, as expected, versus last year ~40% 3) Now the only issues that remain are in regards a) How much revenue will be lost from those subscribers that haven’t crossed over b) How will the agreement look w/ TOT

AKR expects the government to conclude solar farm projects on March 11. It plans to invest in 40MW in renewable energy. The company will invest in 20MW and EPC in 20MW. It targets revenue growth of 50% to Bt3.2mn, backed by bids for transformer work to add to its backlog. (Thun Hoon, 08/03/16)

DCORP is confident it will have a profit this year, supported by the startup of a 300 MW solar cell factory in 2H16. It expects shareholders to approve the investment in YINGLI. (Kao Hoon, 08/03/16)

GOLD is confident that profit in 2016 will higher than last year. It targets revenue of Bt9.8mn and will book profit from sale of assets to a REIT of over Bt130mn each year. It expects to open 15 new projects worth more than Bt16.4bn. (Kao Hoon, 08/03/16)
Comment: Well of course with the sale to REIT!

Continue reading Stocks in the news (advanc, akr, dcorp, gold, ifec, jas, ldc, oishi, sc, smt, spali, spcg, sprc, tsr) 08.03.16

Stocks in the news (akr, atp30, beauty, ck, ivl, jmt, major, nch, oishi, pca, smt, tpoly, tsr, tvt) 08.01.16

AKR says foreign investors are interested becoming partners to invest in alternative energy. It expects 4Q15 earnings to mark a record high backed by numerous orders. It targets 2016 revenue to grow not less than 25% thanks to Bt6bn in bids. It expects the government to approve solar farm projects. It plans to invest in 40MW. It plans to expand to ASEAN. (Thun Hoon, 08/01/16)
Comment: Well its a natural step forward for them as they are trying to shift away from being a project based only company

ATP30 expects 2016 net margin to double from 2015’s (5% in 2015 to 10% in 2016). It expects to make a decision whether to invest in or acquire a logistics business within mid-2016. It expects to invest be not less than Bt100mn. (Khao Hoon, 08/01/16)

European investors are interested in BEAUTY shares because of its strong fundamentals and growth. It expects 2016 revenue growth of 20% aided a broader customer base at home and abroad. (Thun Hoon, 08/01/16)

CK expects to report 2015 net profit of Bt2.39bn. It plans to take part in Bt600bn public project bids. (Khao Hoon, 08/01/16)

IVL has agreed to acquire BP Chemical’s Alabama plant (720 KMT PX, 1,020 KMT PTA, and naphthalene dicarboxylate or NDC) within 1H16. (Khao Hoon, 08/01/16)
Comment: We do wonder how on earth IVL will reach it’s warrant exercise prices in the next 2 years.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (akr, atp30, beauty, ck, ivl, jmt, major, nch, oishi, pca, smt, tpoly, tsr, tvt) 08.01.16

Stocks in the news (bts, cgs, dcon, ea, egco, ktb, oishi, nch, nusa, pps, sena, tk, top, thcom, tpoly, tvd, ureka, uwc, wha) 06.07.15

MRTA plans to negotiate with BTS to operator the Green Line (Bearing-Saput Prakan) rather than putting it up for bidding. (Khao Hoon, 06/07/15)
Comment: Well because BTS already operates every other part of the BTS, the question is only down to politics and fee-arrangements now

CGS acting as financial advisor for Ankor Kasemkam Roongroeng, a company in Cambodia. (ASTV, 06/07/15)

DCON and partner plan to set subsidiary to invest in Bt3bn 30MW biomass power plant. Management expects this plant to generate revenue of Bt50mn each year. 2Q15 profit is expected to surge backed by property business and double track project. (Thun Hoon, 06/07/15)
Comment: Now thats a positive move for DCON, but the earnings are still based upon its property project for the near term

EA expects electricity capacity to reach 396mn units this year (30% revenue growth), adding a 188MW power plant. A 90MW solar farm at Phitsanulok is expected to be completed this year. (Khao Hoon, 06/07/15)

Continue reading Stocks in the news (bts, cgs, dcon, ea, egco, ktb, oishi, nch, nusa, pps, sena, tk, top, thcom, tpoly, tvd, ureka, uwc, wha) 06.07.15

Stocks in the news (earth, egco, fancy, hemraj, hydro, jubile, loxley, ofm, oishi, pcsgh, perk, prin, ps, sanko, seafco, symc, tgci, tpipl) 12.03.15

EARTH expects higher region coal price to lift 1Q15 profit above Bt3.8bn. Management remains confident that its sales volume will reach 10mt in 2015 due to higher demand. It plans to acquire more mines with reserves of 40mt, conclusion by 4Q15. (Thun Hoon, 12/03/15)
Comment: The owners have been pledging their shares for a ton of equity financing hence the odd management trades we have seen over the past 2 years.

EGCO unveils 5-year plan. This will focus on power plants under development. The company confirms its plan to expand in ASEAN and Asia Pacific region with required equity IRR of more than 10%. (Krungthep Thurakij, 12/03/15)

FANCY reports three major shareholders sold 28.46% of total shares via big-lot transaction to two new investors at Bt3.5/share. Management says this will not affect the controlling power of the existing major shareholders and the company’s business plan for particle board production and rubber wood in Surat Thani. (Thun Hoon, 12/03/15)
Comment: It’s been a dying industry for a long time and I don’t see things changing.

HEMRAJ says land demand has been recovering since early 2015. Demand is being seen from both existing and new clients. It expects to sell 1,400 this year and is developing new land for potential clients. It plans to restructure after the end of the tender offer by WHA in March. (Thun Hoon, 12/03/15)
Comment: The question is how many assets will be sold by HEMRAJ in order to help WHA fund the acquisition? The Koh Lan is apparently being sold + a REIT will be set up for its factories + their office building could still be sold.

Continue reading Stocks in the news (earth, egco, fancy, hemraj, hydro, jubile, loxley, ofm, oishi, pcsgh, perk, prin, ps, sanko, seafco, symc, tgci, tpipl) 12.03.15