AMATA expects 4Q15 revenue to be healthy even though it cannot reach the target of selling 1000 rai of land this year. It has sold only 493 rai of land in 9 months. (Thun Hoon, 27/11/15)
Comment: It’s the usual cycle for industrial estates in Thailand.
AOT expects 4Q15 profit of at least Bt3.2bn (51% growth). It expects revenue for the whole of this year to be Bt17bn backed by peak season. (Thun Hoon, 27/11/15)
BMCL expects the cabinet to approve the M&A with BECL on December 8. (Khao Hoon, 27/11/15)
CHO expects to gain revenue from an 11-year project. Next year it will focus on maintenance services and expects to get a project worth Bt400mn. (Thun Hoon, 27/11/15)
Comment: If it is similar to their Tesco contract then its a steady cash flow generator for the firm
Names today: AIT, ILINK, BKD, CHOW, DELTA, DEMCO, EASTW, EPCO, FORTH, LIT, MCS, QH, SAMCO, SUSCO
AIT cooperating with ILINK to invest in a data center. It has got a Bt600mn job which is expected to start up in 2016. It expects this to boost performance next year. It expects 2015 revenue of Bt5.2bn with Bt3.2bn work on hand. (Thun Hoon, 22/10/15)
Comment: Quite clever that these two firms are going to work together with the data center’s.
BKD expects 2016 revenue to be good on the back of Bt2.7bn backlog. It expects 2015 revenue of Bt1.3bn. (Khao Hoon, 22/10/15)
CHOW expects 2016 net profit of Bt350mn. It plans to list its subsidiary soon. 3Q15 performance is expected to grow from 2Q15 because of numerous orders and revenue contribution from solar farm in Japan. (Thun Hoon, 22/10/15)
Comment: The expansion to Japan is will begin full contribution next year, and I am curious to see how the Thai firms GUNKUL and CHOW deal with the currency fluctuation.
Hong Kong investors are interested in DELTA shares because of its strong fundamentals and good financial status. It expects this deal to be finalized soon. It expects 2015 revenue to grow 5-10% from 2014’s Bt45bn backed by high demand and the weaker bath. (Thun Hoon, 22/10/15)
- The Philippines would be a bankrupt country if it weren’t for 2 factors 1) The 2-3 million overseas Philippino’s sending their money back home (OFW’s) to support their families – according to the Philippines Statistics Office*, Overseas Filipino Workers During Six Months Prior to the 2013 Survey by Area, transferred 163 billion pesos, that is ~USD 3.6 bn within 6 months, an amazing number, and strangely other studies that estimate some USD 25bn was remitted back to the Philippines in 2014**, this all translates into consumer spending, real estate purchases and so forth. 2) BPO’s – This industry makes ~USD 17 bn p.a. revenues, has been growing @ ~20% p.a. for the past 7 years, allows people a higher average salary than was previously available and is on track to overtaking India – again this leads to more consumer spending than previously existed 10 years. Now if weren’t for these 2 factors I would have serious doubts about ever investing there b/c 1) Their government has little control of anything (utilities, infrastructure, etc etc are all under the control of private entities) 2) As a physical location, to be a manufacturing hub is close to impossible, plus the fact it is made up of 7,000 islands makes doing any type of business rather difficult. 3) ~80% of the market capitalisation is dominated by ~6-7 families. However despite all of these negatives, just like anywhere in the world, you can find some wonderful ideas to invest in over there, and there are some amazingly well run enterprises, just look at URC and BDO as simple large cap examples.
- Volatility has returned, well if you had closed your eyes for the past 1.5 weeks, then nothing much has really changed other than energy bouncing back a little bit, going forward what can we expect? More volatility? A year end rally? A potential fed rate increase? Fun times ahead.
- CPF announced a huge buyback – because it’s holding in CPALL is equal to its existing market cap, PTTGC has announced a huge buyback, analysts are now writing that QH is trading at its holding’s value thus you’re getting its business for free, which other companies could do the same? I’d start looking at which companies begun buying back shares in 2009 and see if those names are trading at levels that would entice management/boards/majority shareholders to propose the same
ADVANC is talking to TOT to become a business partner; it expects this to be finalized in August. ADVANC is ready to bid for both 1800 and 900 spectra in the 4G auction. It plans to expand its market in 2H15. It targets 2015 revenue growth of 3%. (Khao Hoon, 11/08/15)
BCP targets run at rate of 110,000 bpd despite the fall in oil price. It targets 2014 EBITDA of Bt10.4bn as it achieved 72% of its target in 1H15. (ASTV, 11/08/15)
CCP’s backlog is Bt2.3bn and it expects to bid for more, especially local government jobs and private projects. It expects 2015 revenue to be close to 2014 Bt2.6bn. It expects to benefit from dual track and high speed train projects. (Thun Hoon, 11/08/15)
Comment: Another beneficiary from the potential infrastructure projects
CKP has accelerated construction of Bang-Pa-In and Xayaburi hydroelectric power plants. It expects 2Q15 earnings of Bt131.02mn compared to 2Q14’s Bt35.38mn. (Thun Hoon, 11/08/15)
Comment: We still believe that its fairly priced despite all this earnings growth, there’s nothing really new to report from this co for the time being
AIS pushes for joint venture with TOT, Mobile leader wants to rent telecom towers – Mobile leader Advanced Info Service Plc (AIS) has submitted a joint-venture proposal to TOT Plc to operate telecom tower sites after its mutual second-generation (2G) mobile concession expires next month. (Bangkok Post, 10/8/15)
Comment: Well they need it given the expiration of its concessions and in the case that 4G may (or not) be postponed
2Q15 earnings dropped 13%QoQ and 56%YoY hit by decreasing backlog and inefficient cost control. It plans to pay an interim dividend of Bt0.55/share. (ASTV, 10/08/15)
Comment: AIT – once a darling, it’s being hurt along with anyone else that relies upon government projects for their revenues, but it doesn’t change the fact that once the government becomes operational AIT will be a major beneficiary given the continued investment in IT by Thailand.
BEAUTY expects 2Q15 earnings of Bt61mn. Its CEO says 2015 revenue will achieve 20% target growth backed by high demand locally and overseas. (Thun Hoon, 10/08/15)
CSS’ board has approved an interim dividend of Bt0.1/share, XD on Aug 21, PD on Sep 7. It reported 2Q15 earnings of Bt68mn (+44.92%YoY). 1H15 net profit was Bt131mn (96% growth). (Khao Hoon, 10/08/15)
ADVANC expects to report 2Q15 net profit of Bt9.1bn which will raise 1H15 earnings to Bt19bn. It expects to pay an interim dividend of Bt6.57/share (2.8% yield). It expects to gain benefit from the 4G auction that will be held before the end of this year. (Khao Hoon, 03/08/15)
Comment: Perhaps still the only decent telecom player in Thailand given how DTAC has fallen by the wayside
AIRA is talking to prospective partner and targets to have 12 subsidiaries in 2020 from six now to increase its profit growth. It expects to diversify to property business for regular income. It plans to list subsidiary AIRA Propery” next year. It is confident 2017 revenue will grow significantly aided by higher revenue from its subsidiaries. (BangkokBiznews, 03/08/15)
Comment: AIRA is trying its damnest to be a mini financial conglomerate with the securities, lending, leasing, property businesses
AJD expects to report to the SET today of the signing of an MoU with YTO Express to set up a new company to undertake the logistic business. (Khao Hoon, 03/08/15)
Japanese investors are interested in becoming business partners to ANAN in view of its strong fundamentals. It expects 2015 revenue will achieve target of Bt11bn aided by transfers. It plans to invest Bt17.8bn in new projects which is expected to lift its backlog to Bt34bn. (Thun Hoon, 03/08/15)
Comment: I’ve heard about this since last year, naturally the first name should be its existing JV partner
ADVANC says 2Q15 profit is expected to grow to Bt9.1bn (+7%), with 1H15 growth of 6% to Bt19bn. It expects to pay interim dividend of Bt6.54/share, higher than last year’s Bt6.04/ share. (Khao Hoon, 25/06/15)
Comment: Analysts have now begun downgrading ADVANC’s potential profit growth for this year and next, but its still a good dividend payer
AMATA is confident there is no impact from the drought. It says both its industrial estates have good water management. (Khao Hoon, 25/06/15)
MOT tells EXAT to study the merger between BECL and BMCL to ascertain if it would be against the concession. This will be considered at the board meeting on July 14. (Khao Hoon, 25/06/15)
Comment: We doubt that there would be any negative impact here.
FSMART signed a contract with BEAUTY to invest in E-Commerce. It plans to set up 1,000 coin-operated scales and expects each one to contribute Bt500 per month. (Thun Hoon, 25/06/15)
Comment: Well, depends a lot on the revenue-sharing here.