Maybank Kim Eng Thailand has these great updates on a weekly basis regarding the Infrastructure Investment, see below for a succinct summary.
Who benefits from this? Well the usual players, CK, STEC, UNIQ, ITD, maybe the smaller ones too hopefully, i.e. NWR, CNT, PYLON, etc…
Investment: Infra investments update
The Cabinet approved construction of a Yellow Line and a Pink Line. The government will now look at the bidding process to ensure it takes place within the next three months. The rail links are needed to reduce traffic congestion in Bangkok, which currently has three skytrain lines and one underground line.
Mass-transit routes in Greater Bangkok: Yellow Line (Lat Phrao-Samrong (a straddle-type monorail line)) (THB52b) (2016-2019 or earlier)
Funding: Some included in FY16 budget. The government will invest no more than THB20b, covering the land expropriation costs and many of the civil works. The private sector will invest in the remaining civil engineering projects, trains, operating systems, and maintenance services, under a 30-year concession.
Current status: Fast-tracking PPP project; feasibility study finished; EIA finished; approved by the PPP committee 29 Feb 2016; approved by the Cabinet 29 Mar 2016; international bidding and private participation selection by May 2016; construction to start in Jun 2016.
PPPs: Yes; construction and operation. The government will invest no more than THB20b, covering the land expropriation costs (THB6.01b) and many of the civil works; the private sector will invest in the remaining civil engineering projects, trains, operating systems, and maintenance services, under a 30-year concession; the private sector must take all risks – under the PPP Net Cost model – if the number of passengers is not as expected.
Distance: 30.4km. The daily ridership for is estimated at 247,900 person.
- B90bn set aside to aid rural areas — The government is poised to earmark 90 billion baht to support local development and ease the impact of the drought and slowing economy in rural areas. (Bangkok Post, 18/3/16)
- 2-in-1 strategy in bid to ease new tax pain – Draft bills on the new personal income tax structure and on the land and buildings tax will go before cabinet for approval simultaneously, finance permanent secretary Somchai Sujjapongse says, in a move intended to ease public anxiety over the tax burden. (Bangkok Post, 14/03/16)
- Government approved investing Bt110bn in Pink and Yellow lines. This is good news for CK, SEAFCO, UNIQ, SCC, and TPIPL. (Thun Hoon, 14/03/16) Ministry readies Red Line deal – The Transport Ministry is planning to sign a contract with a private consortium for the Red Line railway connecting Bang Sue to Rangsit at a cost of 32.3 billion baht. (Bangkok Post, 14/03/16)
- U.S. Budget Deficit $192.6 Billion in February – The U.S. budget deficit was little changed in February, leaving the gap between government spending and revenue near a seven-and-a-half year low. The government ran a $193 billion deficit in February, a month in which expenditures typically exceed revenue as tax refunds are mailed. That was up only slightly from a $192 billion deficit last February, the Treasury Department said Thursday in its monthly report. (WSJ, 10/03/16)
- Continue reading WHTW: Top 10
ASIMAR expects 2015 net profit of Bt120-130mn after achieving Bt102.2mn in the first nine months of the year. (Thun Hoon, 05/01/16)
COM7 expects tax incentives to help revenue grow more than 25%. It expects 4Q15 sales to be good because it has 300 branches and many products for sale, including iPhone 6s and iPhone 6sPlus.(Khao Hoon, 05/01/16)
Comment: A 1 time shot, expect for 1Q #’s to look weak.
CPN has budgeted Bt400mn to invest in Pororo Aquapark Bangkok at Central Plaza Bangna. It expects this to increase traffic by 15-20%. (Khao Hoon, 05/01/16)
CSS expects 2016 revenue of Bt5.5bn (20-25% growth) as DTAC and TRUE get busy with expanding their 4G towers. It also expects to get jobs from AIS and JAS. It expects to get a solar farm at a cooperative, which is expected to be announced in 3Q16. (Thun Hoon, 05/01/16)
Comment: You can do the numbers and you’ll see its already fairly priced.
EIC plans to sell 30.2% of Smart Traffic shares to Smart Merchant International for Bt185mn. It expects this to contribute gain of Bt18.8mn. (Khao Hoon, 05/01/16)
Comments: Looks like a left pocket right pocket deal, wonder what the FA would say here…
Buy(s) THB 6.3 bn
-KCE, BA, TTCL, RS, SAM, SPALI, MAJOR, WHA, SCC, IFEC, BBL, DCORP, BLAND, JMART, TU, SOLAR, TVO, NSI, CBG, SUPER, NMG
Sell(s) THB 15.0 bn
-BEC, KCE, SAWD, COL, UNIQ, MAX, AP, SAM, JSP, MAJOR, SRICHA, ITD, BA, TMC, AAV
Note: Transactions shown are trades above THB 20 mn
ACAP reported 3Q15 net profit of Bt3.82mn backed by loan growth. It expects 2016 revenue to be good as it focuses on SME loans. It targets Bt600mn in SME loans in 2016. (Khao Hoon, 24/11/15)
Comment: That is their existing business line, there were talks that it was going to expand into other businesses as well. ACAP had always been a rather cheap company on asset value that every once in a while became popular with retail investors, I am curious to see what the new shareholders will do here
AKR and Nonthaburi cooperatives take part in 5MW solar farm in government unit bidding. It has bid in the Bt1.5bn transformer project for the PEA, winner of which is expected to be announced by this year. (Khao Hoon, 24/11/15)
BROCK expects 2015 revenue growth to meet its 10% target. It expects 4Q15 earnings to be good backed by transfers from Bt40mn backlog. It plans to invest in mix-use property in Phuket (500 rai, valued at Bt10bn). It expects 2016 revenue to be good on government property stimulus measures. (Thun Hoon, 24/11/15)
BTS expects 2HFY16 to be better than 1HFY16 on seasonality. It has budgeted Bt10bn to invest in MRT Green Line. It expects FY2016 revenue to grow 5-10% on the back of 4-6% passenger growth. It plans to sell concessions to BTSGIF. (Khao Hoon, 24/11/15)
Comment: Have a look at their balance sheet and then you’ll understand exactly what BTS’s business model is.