And so is it done? (what are you talking about?) Ah yes, the Russia/Ukraine war, the slap heard around the world, the monkeypox fear, the interest rate hikes in the Anglo-Saxon world, all the above. I would say, yes to all but the interest rates, there’s still another month or 2 of noise to come […]

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National Security Here’s a list of recent national security measures some countries have taken: Indonesia changes its mind more often that a crack addict regarding its commodity exports, at one point it bans the export of coal, then the next month it allows it, then it decides to ban the export of CPO, and then […]

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Oil Fuel Fund seeks loan of B40bn: Cash needed to subsidise oil prices. The Oil Fuel Fund has enough credibility for financial institutions to extend it loans to boost liquidity, enabling it to subsidise the  domestic oil price, says deputy permanent finance secretary Theeraj Athanavanich.  Bangkok Post  Joint sandbox to be discussed: BoT in talks with […]

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The Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) plans to spur 80m domestic trips in 1H22 as the downward trend in new Covid infections helps rebuild local travel sentiment. US offers B5.2bn to Asean: Maritime support tops summit agenda. The United States has pledged over US$150 million (5.22 billion baht) in investment to the Association of Southeast […]

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So with earnings out, not bad overall, management can start buying their shares in beaten down names again…has the market dropped too far? A little bounce for 1-3 weeks before resuming its downtrend? Or will the commodity complex pull the market back up. Companies and markets are in a (here’s a professional term) funky place. […]

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Durian exports to China will bring in an additional Bt120b in revenue this year, says Agricultural Ministry. Co-payment scheme to be extended: Prime minister says extension limited to specific eligible groups of recipients. The government has pledged to implement a fifth phase of the “Khon La Khrueng” copayment subsidy scheme after yesterday approving tourism stimulus […]

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This is an odd situation for Thailand and the ASEAN region. On the bear side we have the increasing financial costs through rate hikes, (10 yr thai gov yield has gone from 2 to 3% this year), higher energy costs across the board, the lockdowns in parts of China and the US and the EU […]

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Now the SET is only +0.1% for the year and if you take into account the currency drop versus the USD, its rubbish. Banks earnings are out, basically better than what most expected. And I’m still on my commodity rampage, just think about it, China is still locking down Shanghai, a semi-lockdown of Beijing, ASEAN […]

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Is the market beginning to price in the increase in interest rates? 10 yr thai gov yield has gone from 2 to 3% this year. Commodity price inflation across the board ruins my thesis of plc’s cutting costs and making greater margins than pre covid. But then we have to throw in the fact that […]

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FPO predicts minimum growth of 3%: Rising production costs limit upside. Fiscal Policy Office (FPO) directorgeneral Pornchai Thiraveja believes the Thai economy will grow by a minimum of 3% this year despite soaring domestic energy and product prices caused by the Russia-Ukraine war. Bangkok Post BOT retains monetary policy: Accommodative approach endures. The central bank […]

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