GMO’s Jeremy Grantham hopes for a bubble then a crash
GMO’s latest quarterly letter is out and as usual it is a must read with several points covering the markets, valuations, asset classes and outlook. Here’s a small tidbit below and a link to the letter.
My personal fond hope and expectation is still for a market that runs deep into bubble territory (which starts, as mentioned earlier, at 2250 on the S&P 500 on our data) before crashing as it always does. Hopefully by then, but depending on what the rest of the world’s equities do, our holdings of global equities will be down to
20% or less. Usually the bubble excitement – which seems inevitably to be led by U.S. markets – starts about now, entering the sweet spot of the Presidential Cycle’s year three, but occasionally, as you have probably discovered the hard way already, history can be a snare and not a help.
Source: GMO